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Bitcoin Price Consolidates – Why 100 SMA Could Spark Fresh Increase
Bitcoin price failed again to clear the $38,500 resistance zone. BTC is consolidating above the 100 hourly SMA and might attempt another increase.
Bitcoin Price Holds Support
Bitcoin price remained well-bid above the $37,500 support zone. BTC climbed higher above the $38,000 level and made another attempt to clear the $38,400 resistance zone.
However, the bulls failed to gain strength and the price peaked near $38,400. It is again correcting gains and trading below the 23.6% Fib retracement level of the upward move from the $36,721 swing low to the $38,390 high.
Bitcoin is now trading above $37,400 and the 100 hourly Simple moving average. There is also a key bullish trend line forming with support near $37,350 on the hourly chart of the BTC/USD pair.
On the upside, immediate resistance is near the $38,200 level. The first major resistance is forming near $38,400. The main resistance is still near the $38,500 level. A close above the $38,500 resistance might start a fresh rally.
Source: BTCUSD on TradingView.com
The next key resistance could be near $39,200, above which BTC could climb toward the $39,500 level. Any more gains might send BTC toward the $40,000 resistance.
More Losses In BTC?
If Bitcoin fails to rise above the $38,400 resistance zone, it could start another decline. Immediate support on the downside is near the $37,550 level or the 50% Fib retracement level of the upward move from the $36,721 swing low to the $38,390 high.
The next major support is near $37,350 and the trend line. If there is a move below $37,350, there is a risk of more downsides. In the stated case, the price could decline toward the $36,720 support in the near term.
Technical indicators:
Hourly MACD – The MACD is now losing pace in the bullish zone.
Hourly RSI (Relative Strength Index) – The RSI for BTC/USD is now near the 50 level.
Major Support Levels – $37,550, followed by $37,350.
Major Resistance Levels – $38,400, $38,500, and $39,200.