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周末复盘:
1,期货商品折算石油后续涨价空间和已经涨价空间折算的未来结果(接下来涨价机会逻辑最大的品种排序):
PX/纯苯/苯乙烯(剩余潜在15-25%):供应现实冲击最强(炼厂停产+霍尔木兹风险),传导系数最高,已涨40%但成本占比90%+,仍有封涨停空间。
丙烯(剩余潜在12-18%):烯烃核心,涨幅22%但下游补货刚启动。
2,煤化工的石油涨价利好传导,目前回调中。
3,注意油价停止上涨的切换机会。