بيانات PANews: 63% من الأسواق قصيرة الأجل على Polymarket لم تتداول خلال 24 ساعة، و505 عقدًا رئيسيًا تشكل 47% من حجم التداول

Coin World News on January 8 reported that Coin World recently analyzed 295,000 historical market data from the Polymarket platform. The data shows:

  1. Over 60% of short-term markets become “zombies”: Among active markets with cycles shorter than 1 day, 63.16% of contracts have zero trading volume in 24 hours.

  2. Scarce short-term liquidity in crypto: The average trading volume of short-term sports markets (1.32 million USD) is 30 times that of crypto markets (440,000 USD), indicating a lack of capital support for crypto short-term predictions.

  3. Extreme head effect: Only 505 super contracts with trading volume exceeding 10 million USD (extremely low proportion) monopolize 47% of the platform’s total trading volume.

  4. Large capital prefers long-term: Average liquidity for long-term predictions (>30 days) is 45 times that of single-day markets, with U.S. political markets leading at 28.17 million USD average volume.

  5. Geopolitical emergence: This sector accounts for 29.7% of active proportion, becoming the fastest-growing track.

The data indicates that Polymarket is differentiating into a “high-frequency sports casino” and “macro political hedge,” with liquidity highly concentrated in extremely limited top narratives.

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