Gate News update: On March 25, CME "Fed Watch" data shows: The probability of the Federal Reserve raising rates by 25 basis points in April is 9.3%, with a probability of maintaining rates unchanged at 90.7%. The probability of the Federal Reserve cumulatively raising rates by 25 basis points by June is 17.1%, with a probability of maintaining rates unchanged at 80.2%.

Gate News Report: According to CME (Chicago Mercantile Exchange) "FedWatch" data on March 24, the probability of the Federal Reserve raising rates by 25 basis points in April is 7.2%, and the probability of maintaining rates unchanged is 92.8%. The probability of the Federal Reserve cumulatively raising rates by 25 basis points by June is 9.1%, the probability of cumulatively raising rates by 50 basis points is 0.2%, and the probability of maintaining rates unchanged is 90.7%.

10x Research analysis points out that Bitcoin has broken below $69,000, market structure has shifted, traders have significantly adjusted positions, futures liquidations have increased, funding rates are negative, options capital flows are directed toward downside protection, signaling market hedging demand against downside risks. Meanwhile, the market's pricing in of rate hike expectations diverges from the Federal Reserve's rate cut guidance, which may impact the performance of risk assets.

The 0x report points out that some propAMM on the Base network have quote fraud behavior, with operators publishing false prices using Flashblock structures, causing trader losses. This could result in approximately $500,000 in monthly losses. 0x will monitor and cut off non-compliant liquidity to protect users.

Gate News reports that on March 18, the Federal Reserve's FOMC released a statement on March 19 with three changes compared to the January statement: First, adjustment to unemployment rate language, changing "unemployment rate has shown certain signs of stabilization" to "unemployment rate has changed little in recent months"; Second, addition of Middle East situation-related language, noting that "the impact of Middle East developments on the U.S. economy remains uncertain"; Third, Federal Reserve Governor Waller's stance shift, previously supporting a rate cut of 25 basis points at the last meeting, now changed to support keeping rates unchanged.

Gate News: According to CME "Fed Watch" data on March 18, the probability of the Federal Reserve cutting rates by 25 basis points in this meeting is 0%, maintaining rates unchanged is 98.9%, and raising rates by 25 basis points is 1.1%. The probability of the Federal Reserve cumulatively cutting rates by 25 basis points by April is 2.0%, maintaining rates unchanged is 96.9%, and raising rates by 25 basis points is 1.0%. By June, the probability of cumulatively cutting rates by 25 basis points is 16.3%, maintaining rates unchanged is 82.5%, and raising rates by 25 basis points is 0.9%.

Market analyst Jared Blikre points out that Bank of America's Global Fund Manager Survey shows large institutional investors are increasing their positions in emerging market stocks and commodities while reducing their dollar holdings. Powell's comments have a significant impact on market trends; if the dollar index breaks through 100, it will increase investment pressure, whereas the opposite would be beneficial for emerging market development.

Bitcoin kehilangan momentum naik setelah menyentuh 75.000 dolar, dengan pasar khawatir tentang puncak jangka pendek. Meskipun institusi terus menambah posisi dengan total kepemilikan meningkat menjadi 5,8 miliar dolar, harga menghadapi tekanan dari ketidakpastian makroekonomi. Aliran masuk Bitcoin ETF melebihi 1,5 miliar dolar mendukung harga. Fokus pasar berada pada pertemuan Federal Reserve dan situasi geopolitik, yang dapat mempengaruhi tren jangka pendek.

Gate News Report: On March 18, xStocks announced on the X platform that its points system xPoints now has the query function open. Users can automatically accumulate points through three ways: holding tokenized stocks in wallets, establishing positions in the lending market, and providing liquidity to decentralized exchanges (DEX). xStocks stated that it will announce more partnership information in the coming weeks.

Gate News: On March 17, Polymarket prediction market data shows that market bets on the Fed cutting rates once by 25 basis points this year stands at 30% probability, the probability of no rate cuts is 23%, and the probability of cutting rates twice for a total of 50 basis points is 23%. Currently, the prediction market has trading volume exceeding $10.25 million.