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3.16 Spot Gold | Midday Market Analysis
International situation, the Federal Reserve is approaching its interest rate decision, expectations for rate cuts have cooled significantly, the US dollar and US Treasury yields are strengthening, pressuring gold prices in the short term. The Middle East geopolitical situation persists, risk-aversion demand remains, but cannot withstand the pressure from high interest rates, gold prices resist falling but struggle to rise. Inflation plus rising oil prices provide medium-term support for gold, with limited downside space for sharp declines.
Technical Ana

Golden Monday: Watch More, Move Less, Await Directional Breakthrough
News
Fed Policy Pressing Down: The Fed decision + dot plot arrives this Thursday (March 19), with market pricing showing 99%+ probability of maintaining rates in March, first rate cut delayed to June. The US Dollar Index stands firm at 99, 10-year Treasury yield rises above 4.25%, suppressing gold holding costs, short-term bullish position liquidation is evident. Middle East situation remains unescalated, oil prices at high levels but haven't triggered new risk-off demand; this week focuses on US CPI and retail sales data, st

5000 garis hidup-mati! Prediksi zona besar emas minggu depan: eksplorasi bawah terlebih dahulu, kemudian keputusan, volatilitas ekstrem akan tiba
Maret tanpa penurunan suku bunga, fokus pada dot plot dan pidato Powell.
• Hawkish (bearish emas): ekspektasi penurunan suku bunga tertunda hingga September, hanya 1 kali penurunan sepanjang tahun → dolar AS, hasil obligasi AS menguat, harga emas melemah.
• Netral/dovish (bullish emas): pertahankan kemungkinan penurunan suku bunga Juni → harga emas rebound di landing.
• Konflik Timur Tengah berada di simpul negosiasi kritis, risiko belum dieliminasi,