Coin界 Web (CoinJie Web) reported on January 8 that Coin界 Web recently analyzed 295,000 historical market data from the Polymarket platform. The data shows:
Over 60% of short-term markets have become “zombies”: Among active markets with cycles shorter than 1 day, 63.16% of contracts have 0 trading volume in 24 hours.
Crypto short-term liquidity shortage: The average trading volume of short-term sports markets (1.32 million USD) is 30 times that of crypto markets (440,000 USD), indicating lack of capital support for crypto short-term predictions.
Extreme head effect: Only 505 super contracts with trading volume exceeding 10 million USD (extremely low proportion by count) monopolize 47% of the platform’s total trading volume.
Large capital prefers long-term: The average liquidity of long-term predictions (>30 days) is 45 times that of single-day markets, with US politics leading at 28.17 million USD average volume.
Geopolitics on the rise: This sector’s active share reaches 29.7%, becoming the fastest-growing track.
The data indicates that Polymarket is differentiating into a “high-frequency sports betting casino” and “macro political hedge,” with liquidity highly concentrated in a small number of top narratives.
PANewsデータ：Polymarketの短期市場の63%は24時間0取引、505の主要なコントラクトが全取引量の47%を占める
Coin界 Web (CoinJie Web) reported on January 8 that Coin界 Web recently analyzed 295,000 historical market data from the Polymarket platform. The data shows:
Over 60% of short-term markets have become “zombies”: Among active markets with cycles shorter than 1 day, 63.16% of contracts have 0 trading volume in 24 hours.
Crypto short-term liquidity shortage: The average trading volume of short-term sports markets (1.32 million USD) is 30 times that of crypto markets (440,000 USD), indicating lack of capital support for crypto short-term predictions.
Extreme head effect: Only 505 super contracts with trading volume exceeding 10 million USD (extremely low proportion by count) monopolize 47% of the platform’s total trading volume.
Large capital prefers long-term: The average liquidity of long-term predictions (>30 days) is 45 times that of single-day markets, with US politics leading at 28.17 million USD average volume.
Geopolitics on the rise: This sector’s active share reaches 29.7%, becoming the fastest-growing track.
The data indicates that Polymarket is differentiating into a “high-frequency sports betting casino” and “macro political hedge,” with liquidity highly concentrated in a small number of top narratives.