Can the Fed chair change really make gold soar? I'm skeptical. Historically, such expectations are already priced in well in advance.
No breathing room for bears sounds great, but can 4500 really break? Feels like bulls are just hyping themselves.
Weak dollar = liquidity release, this logic might work for BTC, but what about gold? Still too dependent on risk appetite.
Wait, the chair change isn't until 2026—aren't we jumping the gun betting on this now? Can the market stay stable for two years? Haha.
#数字资产动态追踪 2026年美联储主席更替在即，市場普遍預計新任主席的政策姿態會更加溫和，這對避險資產形成長期利好。換句話說，黃金這波升勢遠還沒到頭。
昨天盤面怎麼走的？金價從4428的低點拉起來，硬生生反彈了1.03%，甚至摸到了4497。關鍵是站穩4490這條線後，下面的支撐就往上挪到了4480-4485的區間——這個位置很關鍵，是前面突破後必須要重新確認的地方。
技術面給什麼信號呢？1小時圖上連陽逼空的局面越來越明顯，反彈的力度壓根沒給空頭什麼喘息機會，多頭的掌控力相當強勢。一旦4490-4495這個區域的支撐扛住，下一步多方就會直奔4500整數關口，破了的話視野能延伸到4510-4520。
美元弱勢週期疊加降息預期，這個組合對黃金來說就是加速器。加密市場同樣在看這個邏輯——美元走弱本質上是流動性釋放，這對$BTC和$ETH這樣的風險資產同樣是利好信號。