#比特币价格走势 After seeing the viewpoints from Harumotoki and Adam, what's interesting is that the market is at a node of "consensus breakdown."
Harumotoki is blunt: Bitcoin is no longer a good bullish opportunity, and risks are increasing. This judgment is actually sobering because it breaks the expectation in many people's minds that "it will continue to surge." From a liquidity perspective, continuous ETF selling is weakening the medium-term support logic, which is no trivial matter.
On the other side, Adam makes an equally realistic point — the 90,000 USD level is not easy to break, liquidity drying up before Christmas may bring downside pressure, and the crowded long contracts are amplifying volatility even more. Volatility dropping to historical lows sounds calm, but in reality it's brewing a larger directional breakdown.
For me, this community divergence is actually a signal. When both Chinese and English-speaking communities are hesitant, it means there's genuinely a lack of high-probability opportunities in the short term. An adjustment phase should have adjustment-phase tactics — either wait until probabilities become clearer before entering, or if you already have copy-trading positions, now is the time to strictly execute your stop-loss plan and don't count on holding through in a low-liquidity environment.
The judgment that risks are increasing deserves serious consideration.
#比特币价格走势 After seeing the viewpoints from Harumotoki and Adam, what's interesting is that the market is at a node of "consensus breakdown."
Harumotoki is blunt: Bitcoin is no longer a good bullish opportunity, and risks are increasing. This judgment is actually sobering because it breaks the expectation in many people's minds that "it will continue to surge." From a liquidity perspective, continuous ETF selling is weakening the medium-term support logic, which is no trivial matter.
On the other side, Adam makes an equally realistic point — the 90,000 USD level is not easy to break, liquidity drying up before Christmas may bring downside pressure, and the crowded long contracts are amplifying volatility even more. Volatility dropping to historical lows sounds calm, but in reality it's brewing a larger directional breakdown.
For me, this community divergence is actually a signal. When both Chinese and English-speaking communities are hesitant, it means there's genuinely a lack of high-probability opportunities in the short term. An adjustment phase should have adjustment-phase tactics — either wait until probabilities become clearer before entering, or if you already have copy-trading positions, now is the time to strictly execute your stop-loss plan and don't count on holding through in a low-liquidity environment.
The judgment that risks are increasing deserves serious consideration.