# 风险控制

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⚠️ Federal Reserve Interest Rate Decision · Operational Risk Alert
⏰ Key Time: Beijing Time March 19, 02:00 Decision Announcement / 02:30 Powell Press Conference
🔴 Core Risk Reminders
1. Current Probability: CME data shows March rate hold probability at 99.1%, rate cut expectations have been largely priced in by the market. Hawkish surprises or strong language from Powell could trigger sharp volatility.
2. Volatility Amplification: Middle East conflicts + elevated oil prices make market sentiment extremely sensitive. Extreme price movements like stop hunts, flash crashes, and liquidity dry-up
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