There are 24 hours left until the Federal Reserve's interest rate cut decision. Probability of a rate cut? Still high. BTC price? $91,000, "frozen". Everyone is waiting for tomorrow's "starting gun". But I want to ask a question: When everyone knows there will be a rate cut, will the market go up or down at the moment the rate cut is announced? The pattern is harsh: when the market's expectation for a certain "bullish" event is >90%, after the bullish news is confirmed, the probability of a price drop is 67%.
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There are 24 hours left until the Federal Reserve's interest rate cut decision. Probability of a rate cut? Still high. BTC price? $91,000, "frozen". Everyone is waiting for tomorrow's "starting gun". But I want to ask a question: When everyone knows there will be a rate cut, will the market go up or down at the moment the rate cut is announced? The pattern is harsh: when the market's expectation for a certain "bullish" event is >90%, after the bullish news is confirmed, the probability of a price drop is 67%.