Golden Ten consolidation: 9 investment banks look ahead to the Banco Central do Canadá Taxa de juros decision - rising unemployment rate, expecting a repeat of a 50BP interest rate cut

GoldenOctober2024

2024-12-11 13:09:31

Goldman Sachs: It is expected to cut interest rates by 50 basis points, the reasons for easing policies are reinforced by economic slowdown, rising unemployment rates, and Q3 GDP data lower than expected. 2. Bank of Canada: It is expected to cut interest rates by 50 basis points due to a weak economic background, unemployment rates rising by a full percentage point compared to a year ago, while interest rates remain high. 3. HSBC: It is expected to cut interest rates by 50 basis points, the Central Bank of Canada is not too concerned about the rekindling of inflation risks from aggressive easing policies, but rather about inadequate easing measures. 4. ING: It is expected to cut interest rates by 50 basis points, while a more conservative cut of 25 basis points may be interpreted as concerns about whether the Fed will ease its policies. 5. Mitsubishi UFJ Financial Group: It is expected to cut interest rates by 50 basis points due to a weak labor market. Bullish on USD/CAD, target at 1.4550, policy divergence supports the Canadian dollar to continue to decline. 6. TD Securities: It is expected to cut interest rates by 50 basis points due to unemployment rates reaching new highs in recent years. Factors such as consumer spending recovery may also lead to a 25 basis points rate cut. 7. Bank of Montreal: It is expected to cut interest rates by 50 basis points due to a significant rise in unemployment rates, the Canadian dollar may further weaken due to extremely uncertain future trade conditions. 8. Imperial Bank of Commerce: It is expected to cut interest rates by 50 basis points, the continuously rising unemployment rates and weak wage data strengthen the necessity for further easing policies. 9. Rabobank: It is expected to cut interest rates by 25 basis points, followed by 4 more rate cuts, bringing the interest rate to 2.50% by mid-next year, with a 6-month target price for USD/CAD at 1.44.

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