Analyst Expects Bitcoin Price to Bottom Sometime Next Year, Target Set at $40,000

• Analyst expects Bitcoin price to cotton next year.

• The current bottom target for BTC is set at $40,000.

• This means the next BTC ATH can arrive sooner than expected.

The crypto community has been debating the fate of the price of the pioneer crypto asset since BTC set its current ATH price at the $126,000 price range in October. With the rapid decline in price since then, most analysts believe that the bear market is afoot, while others believe the price is simply going through a correction. Either way, one analyst expects Bitcoin price to bottom sometime next year, with a target set at $40,000.

Analyst Expects Bitcoin Price to Bottom Sometime Next Year

Some analysts expect BTC to enter its next cycle soon and set a new ATH next year, others believe the 4-year bull cycle is dead, and either a yearly bull cycle like stocks will play out, or a 5-year super cycle will play out. Amidst these many predictions, one analyst states that Bitcoin will likely go on to bottom at $40,000 sometime next year. The analyst goes on to break down his expectations in the detailed post below.

🚨 Bitcoin is likely going to bottom at $40,000 sometime next year

Don’t believe me?

Yeah right.

Just like you didn’t believe me when i said $69k was the top in 2021.

If you hold any crypto, you should pay close attention to this.

Let me explain why BTC should drop to $40k:… pic.twitter.com/A0I0l9UPOi

— NoLimit (@NoLimitGains) December 16, 2025

As the analyst explains in the post above, Bitcoin is likely going to bottom at $40,000 sometime next year. He begins by explaining why BTC will drop to $40,000, starting with the first reason, which is that Bitcoin has a habit of humbling people right when confidence is strong. Every cycle looks different on the surface, but underneath, it barely changes. Here’s the part nobody wants to talk about.

Bitcoin moves in a four-year cycle, driven by liquidity, leverage, and human behavior. Not vibes or euphoria. No doubt, we are late in the cycle right now. In every previous run, BTC does three things. First, BTC explodes higher after the halving narrative kicks in. Second, BTC pulls in max leverage and late buyers. Third, BTC then delivers a deep, violent reset before the next real expansion. The analyst then declares that that reset is never smooth.

In detail, the 2013-2014 drop was 85% while the drop in 2017-2018 was 84%, and the drop in 2021-2022 was 77%. Each time, people thought this time would be different. But it never was. Now look at where we are, the price of BTC has already had a massive run with ETFs and institutions already being here, leading to people being over-leveraged. In addition, volatility is compressed, and everyone is hoping for higher prices. This is usually when downside risk becomes visible.

BTC Bottom Target Set at $40,000

Thus, a drop toward the $40,000 area wouldn’t be seen as a black swan because Bitcoin does not just bottom and drift sideways forever. Every single time BTC has put in a real cycle low, it’s been followed by a violent upside move that takes the price to new ATHs. The pain comes first, then the opportunity. That $40,000 area wouldn’t be the end of Bitcoin, it would be the reset that sets up the next massive run. By zooming out, that zone lines up perfectly with the previous resistance turned support, long-term moving averages, and post-ETF liquidity gap.