The Federal Reserve has a 94.1% probability of maintaining interest rates unchanged in March

Federal Reserve Board Member Mullan: Interest rates should be lowered to a neutral level of 2.5%-2.75%

Gate News reports that on March 6th, Federal Reserve Board Member Milan expressed his views on interest rate policy, stating that the neutral interest rate is approximately 2.5% to 2.75%. Milan pointed out that if the Federal Reserve does not cut interest rates this month, he will oppose it, believing that the Fed should lower rates to the neutral level and then reassess the policy direction.

Federal Reserve Board Member Mullan: The Federal Reserve usually does not respond to oil prices

Gate News Report, March 6 - Federal Reserve Board Member Michelle Bowman stated that the Federal Reserve generally does not respond to oil prices. She pointed out that if there is any impact, oil price fluctuations tend to push the Fed toward a more dovish policy stance, as oil shocks could dampen core inflation by hurting demand.

Federal Reserve's Goolsbee: Expect interest rate cuts to begin before the end of this year

Gate News Report, on March 6th, Federal Reserve official Goolsby stated that rate cuts could begin before the end of this year. He pointed out that the timing for taking prudent action has been continuously delayed.

Schroders Chief Economist: U.S. Non-Farm Payrolls Data Below Expectations, but Recent Factors May Weaken the Need for Rate Cuts

Gate News Report, March 6 — Schroders Global Chief Economist David Rees commented on the U.S. non-farm payroll data. Rees pointed out that the non-farm employment figures were significantly below expectations, providing a basis for dovish discussions within the Federal Reserve. He stated that at least part of the deviation below expectations was due to strikes in the healthcare industry, which are expected to be reversed. Additionally, despite the soft employment report, the continued growth in labor demand persists amid the ongoing strong U.S. economic expansion. Rees mentioned that Kevin Woor, who is about to become the Federal Reserve Chair, previously expressed the view that the application of artificial intelligence would greatly enhance U.S. productivity and create room for rate cuts. However, he also noted that the recovery of the labor market and inflation risks from Middle Eastern events would weaken the need for rate cuts in the short term.

Institutional analyst: Poor February employment data does not change the Federal Reserve's expectation of rate cuts this year; the market expects only one rate cut this year.

Carson Group analyst Sonu Varghese stated that despite poor employment data in February, the Federal Reserve's interest rate cut expectations for this year remain unchanged, and risks in the labor market still exist. Meanwhile, energy prices and artificial intelligence bottlenecks will keep the Federal Reserve cautious on rate cuts, and the market may only expect one rate cut.

U.S. non-farm employment data fell short of expectations, unemployment rate rose, and oil prices surged significantly

Gate News Announcement, March 6 — Annex Wealth Management Chief Economist Brian Jacobsen stated that the latest non-farm employment data deviates from expectations, with the unemployment rate rising and oil prices surging. The Federal Reserve is currently facing policy choices: whether to take measures to support the labor market or to maintain the current stance to curb inflation expectations.