The Federal Reserve has a 90.2% probability of maintaining interest rates unchanged in March.

ChainCatcher reports that according to Jintou, CME “Federal Reserve Watch” shows a 90.2% probability that the Federal Reserve will keep interest rates unchanged until March, and a 9.8% chance of a 25 basis point cut. By April, the probability of a total 25 basis point cut is 26.4%, the probability of holding rates steady is 71.5%, and the probability of a total 50 basis point cut is 2%. By June, the probability of a total 25 basis point cut is 51.8%.

View Original
Disclaimer: The information on this page may come from third parties and does not represent the views or opinions of Gate. The content displayed on this page is for reference only and does not constitute any financial, investment, or legal advice. Gate does not guarantee the accuracy or completeness of the information and shall not be liable for any losses arising from the use of this information. Virtual asset investments carry high risks and are subject to significant price volatility. You may lose all of your invested principal. Please fully understand the relevant risks and make prudent decisions based on your own financial situation and risk tolerance. For details, please refer to Disclaimer.

Related Articles

Institutional analyst: Poor February employment data does not change the Federal Reserve's expectation of rate cuts this year; the market expects only one rate cut this year.

Carson Group analyst Sonu Varghese stated that despite poor employment data in February, the Federal Reserve's interest rate cut expectations for this year remain unchanged, and risks in the labor market still exist. Meanwhile, energy prices and artificial intelligence bottlenecks will keep the Federal Reserve cautious on rate cuts, and the market may only expect one rate cut.

GateNews8m ago

U.S. non-farm employment data fell short of expectations, unemployment rate rose, and oil prices surged significantly

Gate News Announcement, March 6 — Annex Wealth Management Chief Economist Brian Jacobsen stated that the latest non-farm employment data deviates from expectations, with the unemployment rate rising and oil prices surging. The Federal Reserve is currently facing policy choices: whether to take measures to support the labor market or to maintain the current stance to curb inflation expectations.

GateNews27m ago

Goldman Sachs expects the Federal Reserve to complete the remaining two rate cuts, but the timing remains uncertain.

Goldman Sachs Multi-Asset Fixed Income Investment Director Lindsay Rosner stated that the Federal Reserve should be cautious about delaying interest rate cuts in the face of a weak labor market. Meanwhile, the Middle East conflict influences policy directions, and the complex interplay between inflation and U.S. employment makes the timing of rate cuts uncertain. Goldman Sachs expects to complete two rate cuts to return to a neutral interest rate.

GateNews52m ago

Traders increase bets on the Federal Reserve cutting interest rates at least once in 2026

Gate News Report: On March 6, traders increased their bets, expecting the Federal Reserve to cut interest rates at least once by 2026.

GateNews54m ago

U.S. Treasury yields rise as traders bet on the Federal Reserve cutting interest rates by a total of 44 basis points by December

Following the disappointing employment report, U.S. Treasury yields declined as the market expects the Federal Reserve to cut interest rates this year. The 10-year Treasury yield dropped to 4.1%, and the 2-year Treasury yield fell to 3.53%. Interest rate swaps indicate that traders expect a total of 44 basis points of rate cuts by December.

GateNews54m ago

ETH 15-minute sharp decline of 1.53%: Large investors' short-term profit-taking and ETF capital outflows resonate, triggering a significant drop

From 13:45 to 14:00 on March 6, 2026 (UTC), ETH experienced a significant fluctuation, with a short-term decline of 1.53%. The price fluctuated sharply between 2019.21 and 2051.26 USDT, with an amplitude of 1.56%. High-frequency sell orders surged, market attention spiked, trading volume increased, and the divergence between bulls and bears intensified. Market sentiment became more cautious. The main driving force behind this fluctuation was large investors and whale accounts reducing their positions after a short-term rebound, leading to a rapid release of large sell orders and triggering short-term selling pressure in the market. On the ETF front, holdings

GateNews55m ago
Comment
0/400
Rotschildvip
· 02-16 00:50
There is a plot. Somebody figured out that AI will hurt politically (resources, jobs, prices, tax) and now they will crack down on AI and the market will hurt. Also, someone will short the AI market and make a fortune without even asking for it. A marvelous business. Big and Beautiful.
Reply0
Rotschildvip
· 02-15 22:17
And also data centers will act like charity institutions. Read the CNBC Navarro interview: "Navarro says Trump administration may force data center builders like Meta to ‘internalize’ costs"
Reply0