New York Investment Maintains Federal Reserve Rate Cut Expectations, Oil Prices Surge Short-Term Difficulty in Shaking Policy Path

Stock and bond sell-off, BTC holds the 70,000 level, Bitcoin outperformed gold this week

The ongoing military actions by the US and Israel against Iran continue to impact the market. Oil prices surged, causing US stocks and Bitcoin to decline, but Bitcoin's decline was smaller, and it outperformed gold this week. Disrupted energy supplies have sparked inflation concerns, leading to simultaneous declines in stocks and bonds. Investors remain optimistic about cryptocurrencies, with significant capital inflows.

ETH short-term decline of 1.12%: macro liquidity disturbances and whale position reduction resonance intensify volatility

On March 5, 2026, from 16:00 to 16:15 (UTC), the price of Ethereum (ETH) recorded a -1.12% return within 15 minutes, with a price range of 2056.69 to 2087.34 USDT, and an amplitude of 1.47%. Market attention during this period significantly increased, volatility intensified, mainstream coins experienced a synchronized pullback, and short-term traders engaged in frequent speculative battles. The main driver of this fluctuation is macro-level liquidity disturbances. As the Federal Reserve's interest rate decision approaches and the U.S. non-farm payroll data is set to be released on March 6, the market shows divergence in the pace of rate cuts, prompting some short-term funds to choose

70% of assets heavily invested in Bitcoin! Mexican billionaire urges "buy quickly during the dip," and the wealthy dad is also increasing his holdings

Mexican billionaire Ricardo Salinas Pliego is heavily investing in Bitcoin, believing it can hedge against inflation and symbolize personal freedom. Robert Kiyosaki warns that a stock market crash is imminent and continues to increase his holdings in Bitcoin and precious metals, remaining confident. They both believe that Bitcoin has long-term value potential, and the current price dip is a good buying opportunity.

U.S. Treasury yields rise across the board, with market expectations for fewer interest rate cuts

Influenced by Middle East conflicts and inflation concerns, U.S. Treasury yields continue to rise. Initial jobless claims remain at 213,000, and the January import price index growth was below expectations. The market expects non-farm employment to decline, while the futures market anticipates the Federal Reserve will cut interest rates only once by 2026. The 10-year U.S. Treasury yield rose to 4.134%.

Institutions: Unless tomorrow's non-farm payrolls show significant weakness, the US dollar will remain strong.

A strategist at TD Securities stated that if the U.S. non-farm payroll report does not show significant weakness, it will not affect the dollar. They believe the market will focus on the Middle East conflict and its impact on the Federal Reserve's rate-cutting ability, rather than employment data. If oil prices remain high, the dollar should stay strong.

Oil prices surge, interest rate cut expectations cool down! Circle benefits as the target price breaks $100

U.S. stablecoin giant Circle recently surged nearly 8% in stock price, hitting a four-month high, due to soaring oil prices and a cooling of interest rate cut expectations. Mizuho Securities raised its target price to $100, while maintaining a "Neutral" rating, but became more optimistic about profit prospects. Analysts believe that if the Federal Reserve continues to keep interest rates high, Circle's revenue will benefit accordingly, but market competition and regulatory pressures should still be watched carefully.