VanEck CEO predicts a Bitcoin market bottom, citing halving cycles and structural supply limits.
Bitcoin trades near $68,000, up 2.6 percent but still below its all-time high.
ETF inflows remain strong, while geopolitical tensions create short-term volatility and cautious market sentiment.
Bitcoin — BTC, has bounced back slightly in the past 24 hours, trading near $68,000. Despite a 2.6 percent gain, the cryptocurrency is still down 22 percent this year and more than 40 percent below its all-time high from October 2025. Investors are watching closely as the market reacts to macro events and large ETF inflows. VanEck CEO Jan van Eck shared his perspective, suggesting that Bitcoin may be forming a market bottom.
JUST IN: $181 billion VanEck CEO says Bitcoin is “making a bottom” and today’s price pump is “a sign of life” 🚀
Bullish! 🐂 pic.twitter.com/6LP757EO00
— Bitcoin Magazine (@BitcoinMagazine) March 2, 2026
Jan van Eck explained in a CNBC interview that Bitcoin’s current price cycle follows the four-year halving pattern. He emphasized that this bear market stems from cyclical rewards changes for miners rather than shifts in fundamental value. The block reward halves every four years, while the total supply remains capped at 21 million coins. This structural limit drives recurring cycles of price growth and decline, according to van Eck.
He also noted that recent price movements may have been influenced by geopolitical events. The U.S. and Israel launched air strikes on Iran, which prompted counter-strikes. Van Eck suggested that cryptocurrencies could act as payment rails, enabling money to move outside traditional banking systems during conflicts. Examples he cited include adoption trends in Dubai and the UAE.
Bitcoin’s short-term recovery shows resilience despite these tensions. Analysts highlight that while geopolitical uncertainty can trigger volatility, structural cycles remain a key factor for long-term trends. Price action continues to hover below $70,000, signaling cautious optimism among traders.
Market data shows strong institutional interest in Bitcoin. U.S. spot Bitcoin ETFs recorded roughly $458 million in inflows on Tuesday, marking one of the quarter’s largest single-day totals. Over three consecutive sessions last week, ETFs added $1.1 billion, with BlackRock’s IBIT fund contributing about half of the inflows. This level of institutional participation demonstrates continued confidence despite broader market risk.
Volatility spiked briefly over the weekend following geopolitical headlines. Singapore-based QCP Capital reported around $300 million in long liquidations triggered by the news. However, these movements were largely contained, with options markets showing implied volatility peaking at 93 percent before normalizing. Analysts interpret this as traders hedging event risk rather than anticipating a sustained crisis.
Technically, Bitcoin has traded mostly between $60,000 and $70,000 since February. Monday’s high reached $69,213 but failed to reclaim the $70,000 level last seen in late January. Analysts say risk appetite remains fragile, as military tensions in the Middle East continue. Leaders in the U.S., Israel, and Iran have signaled minimal intent to de-escalate, leaving traders cautious.
Looking forward, a sustained move above $70,000 could indicate stronger momentum. Until then, Bitcoin may continue to fluctuate within its current range, influenced by institutional flows, geopolitical events, and halving cycle dynamics. Van Eck’s outlook reminds investors that market bottoms often form gradually, shaped by structural and macro factors alike. Traders and enthusiasts will closely monitor price action for signals of a confirmed recovery.
Related Articles
Bitcoin ETFs See Record Drawdown as $8.9B Exits During BTC Correction
Bitcoin Shows Bullish Divergence Vs. Gold: Is a Fresh Breakout Brewing?
Ray Dalio Warns Bitcoin Unlikely to Be Long-Term Store of Value
Eric Trump Celebrates: The family mining company American Bitcoin's holdings surpass 6,500 Bitcoins! Ranks 17th in the world for most crypto holdings
Next Crypto to Explode: Pepeto Surges Past $7.4M As Standard Chartered Cuts Bitcoin to $50K While...