Gate News report, April 1, Polymarket added a prediction event: “Will Trump Mobile release a phone by the end of April or by the end of June?” Based on current market data, the probability of releasing a phone by April 30 is 6%, and the probability of releasing a phone by June 30 is 22%. According to the market rules, if Trump Mobile officially releases a phone before the specified date (11:59 PM Eastern Time in the US), including T1 or any other model, the market will be judged as “Yes”; otherwise, it will be judged as “No.” The product must be available for public purchase within the specified time to be considered released; merely announcing, unveiling, or offering reservations or pre-orders does not meet the criteria. The primary basis for determining this market is information provided by Trump Mobile, but it will also consider the consensus from other reliable reports. Background information shows that in December 2025, Trump Mobile, under the Trump Organization, delayed its original plan to deliver its gold smartphone by the end of 2025. On January 24, 2026, tech media The Verge reported that, despite the original T1 phone not yet being shipped. It is understood that, similar to the Trump Organization’s previous brand licensing practices, the T1 phone and services are not directly designed, developed, or sold by the Trump Organization, but are operated by third-party companies through brand licensing.
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