Gate News message, April 15 — The World Silver Institute maintained its outlook in its annual report released this week, projecting that the global silver market will face a supply shortage for the sixth consecutive year. The supply deficit is expected to widen 15% to 46.3 million ounces in 2026.
While demand for silver bars and coins is projected to grow 18%, industrial, photographic, jewelry, and silverware demand is expected to decline, resulting in a 2% overall decrease in total consumption. Silver supply is forecast to drop 2% due to slight decreases in mining output and hedging activity, though this will be partially offset by a 7% increase in recycling.
Despite near-term price headwinds from the Iran conflict, the Institute maintains a “constructive outlook” for silver through the remainder of 2026. It expects Middle East tensions to remain contained and monetary policy tightening to be temporary. Even if conflict persists, concerns about sluggish growth and fiscal strain may depress real bond yields, supporting precious metals like silver and gold. The report noted that as risk-off demand returns amid cyclical market corrections, renewed interest in gold and silver should follow.
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