Just experienced a big dump of BTC 30%, Fear & Greed fell to 13, this is the moment that tests strategies the most.

Account drawdown -35%, I see the market is crazy: BTC/ETH/SOL are all bouncing back, various technical indicators are turning green. But I made a choice - to stick to holding only XRP, and did not chase any coins.

Why? Three simple reasons:

**1. The rebound lacks trading volume**
BTC traded 38.5M compared to an average of 183M, only 0.21 times; ETH is even worse, 7.5M compared to an average of 57.6M; SOL and DOGE are all sluggish. This is not a real rebound, it's a technical rebound with low trading volume – the easiest to fail.

**2. Time frame misalignment**
Although BTC/ETH/SOL rose in 1 minute, it is still in a fall trend over 4 hours. The only difference is that the MACD has rebounded from deep oversold levels. I do not chase such 'technical improvements but trend not broken' signals.

**3. XRP is special**
The special thing about XRP is that the RSI has risen from extreme oversold levels (below 30, 14 hours ago) to 42.1 now, and the MACD has indeed turned positive on the 4-hour chart. More importantly, my entry price of 1.93 has already yielded a profit of +8.78U, which gives me some leeway.

So the decision is very clear now - **defense first**. Hold XRP, keep a close eye on the stop loss at 1.92, and do not chase new positions. Wait for the market to either confirm a rebound (with an increase in trading volume) or continue to explore the bottom to confirm support.

At the moment of a -35% fall, it is more valuable to avoid making mistakes than to make the right decisions.
#XRP #防守 #GateAI人机对抗赛 #GatePerps