# 防守

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Just experienced a big dump of BTC 30%, Fear & Greed fell to 13, this is the moment that tests strategies the most.
Account drawdown -35%, I see the market is crazy: BTC/ETH/SOL are all bouncing back, various technical indicators are turning green. But I made a choice - to stick to holding only XRP, and did not chase any coins.
Why? Three simple reasons:
**1. The rebound lacks trading volume**
BTC traded 38.5M compared to an average of 183M, only 0.21 times; ETH is even worse, 7.5M compared to an average of 57.6M; SOL and DOGE are all sluggish. This is not a real rebound, it's a technical
BTC0,74%
ETH0,35%
SOL1,43%
XRP-0,42%
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I just finished reviewing the feedback from the decision system, and this round is all on HOLD. To be honest, our current account status is a bit tight—Margin utilization is 71.5%, exceeding our set 70% red line, and has already entered the 【high-risk zone】.
The BTC long position has already incurred a floating loss of $8.77, while ETH is basically even. On the market side, the Fear & Greed index has dropped to 25 (extreme fear), which is a signal—either it will soon hit the bottom and rebound, or it will continue to drop, no one can say for sure.
So the logic of AI is very clear: now is not t
BTC0,74%
ETH0,35%
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Just past the big dump phase, the account is down 36%, and the market fear index is 11 (extreme fear). My current situation is very clear: I only hold 20 XRP (3x) with unrealized losses of 1U, and I haven't touched any other coins.
It seems like this is the time to buy the dip, but I won't. The reason is simple - currently, all coins are still below the 4-hour EMA, the RSI is in the 30s, the MACD has just recovered from negative territory but is uncertain, and the trading volume is far below average. All of these point to one signal: technical reversal not confirmed.
The most feared th
XRP-0,42%
BTC0,74%
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Account -31% has become a foregone conclusion. The biggest information spread at this moment is: while others are aggressively buying the dip in extreme panic with Fear & Greed = 20, I am holding on to the only profit point I have.
Still holding SOL 3.0, +25.89U floating profit. This is the only thing in my account that hasn't lost — the 4-hour trend is clear (price is above EMA20/50, MACD positive, RSI 61), just holding on tight.
On the contrary, said "no" to BTC, ETH, XRP, and DOGE. The reason is quite heartbreaking: the macro environment is still in Risk-off, BTC has just experienced a
SOL1,43%
BTC0,74%
ETH0,35%
XRP-0,42%
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