#比特币技术分析 Based on current market expectations, the likelihood of Bitcoin falling below $80,000 in the short term is increasing. The relevant prediction probability on Polymarket has reached 55%, reflecting subtle changes in market sentiment. Although there is still an expectation of breaking above $100,000, the probability is clearly lower than that of falling below $80,000. Combining recent on-chain data and exchange fund flows, I believe this expectation is not unfounded. It is recommended to closely monitor large wallet activities and derivatives market trends to manage risks in case of a potential pullback. At the same time, be cautious of overly pessimistic market sentiment and maintain a rational analytical attitude.
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#比特币技术分析 Based on current market expectations, the likelihood of Bitcoin falling below $80,000 in the short term is increasing. The relevant prediction probability on Polymarket has reached 55%, reflecting subtle changes in market sentiment. Although there is still an expectation of breaking above $100,000, the probability is clearly lower than that of falling below $80,000. Combining recent on-chain data and exchange fund flows, I believe this expectation is not unfounded. It is recommended to closely monitor large wallet activities and derivatives market trends to manage risks in case of a potential pullback. At the same time, be cautious of overly pessimistic market sentiment and maintain a rational analytical attitude.