SuckersNeverBowTheirHeads.
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#Binance业务调整 After reading this news, I find XMAQUINA's TGE plan quite interesting. They are preparing to sell 110 million DEUS tokens, accounting for 11% of the total supply, mainly to fund the DAO for continued acquisition of humanoid robot company shares. This model of financing physical business through token sales is worth paying attention to. However, the details of the token sale have not yet been announced, so close follow-up on subsequent announcements is necessary. Additionally, over 95% support indicates that the community reacts positively to this proposal. Overall, this TGE may h
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#代币化资产 This debate was truly精彩纷呈. CZ and Schiff, two industry giants, engaged in a heated exchange on stage, each showcasing their own tactics. One side is the traditionalists insisting on the value of gold, while the other is the innovators embracing the future of Bitcoin. Both sides presented many compelling arguments.
What’s particularly interesting is that Schiff is actually involved in a tokenized gold project, which is quite unexpected. However, he still insists that Bitcoin has no intrinsic value and is purely speculative. CZ emphasized Bitcoin’s scarcity and utility, believing it to b
BTC0.24%
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#比特币市场分析 Bitcoin's short-term rally yesterday was indeed quite strong, with the 4-hour K-line significantly deviating from the standard line at $89,923. From a technical perspective, the current stage carries higher risk for chasing longs. The price has already touched the 4th expected line, and further upward attack becomes more difficult. The key support remains at $89,923; as long as it does not break below, there is still a chance in the future. On the daily chart, the K-line is approaching the bearish trend line at $93,958. A breakout could trigger a larger-scale rebound, with upper targ
BTC0.24%
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#Kalshi预测市场争议 Kalshi has been making frequent moves recently, first completing a $1 billion funding round at a $11 billion valuation, and then partnering with several mainstream media outlets. These actions indicate that prediction markets are moving toward mainstream adoption, which could impact traditional financial markets. Data shows that both Kalshi and Polymarket have reached new monthly trading volume highs, with total trading volume exceeding $45 billion, demonstrating increasing user acceptance of these platforms. Notably, Kalshi co-founder Lopes Lara has become the world's youngest
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#比特币市场分析 The latest data shows that Bitcoin faces two key resistance levels: $99,000 and $122,000. These resistance levels are derived from MVRV extreme deviation price range analysis. From a technical perspective, these two price points may become the main obstacles to Bitcoin's short-term rise. Investors should closely monitor the突破 of these two key levels to assess the future market trend. At the same time, they should also consider other on-chain indicators and macro factors to comprehensively evaluate the market conditions.
BTC0.24%
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#加密货币监管 Seeing this news, I believe that this move by US regulators is highly significant. Allowing leveraged spot cryptocurrency trading to enter the federal regulatory framework fills a long-standing regulatory gap. This could have several important impacts: firstly, trading volume may shift from offshore platforms to domestically regulated platforms, increasing market transparency and investor protection. Secondly, the clearinghouse mechanism helps reduce counterparty risk and enhances market stability. However, specific implementation details such as leverage ratio limits are still to be
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#加密预测市场发展 Polymarket's return to the US market has caught my attention. By analyzing its development trajectory, it is evident that the crypto prediction market is gradually moving towards compliance. Polymarket first acquired the licensed platform QCX to lay a regulatory foundation for re-entering the US market, then tested the waters with a Beta mode, and now officially launched the US version of the app. This series of actions demonstrates their efforts and determination in compliance.
From a data perspective, Polymarket's user base may experience significant growth. As one of the largest
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After analyzing the predictions made by major institutions for the cryptocurrency market in 2025 last year, several obvious patterns emerged: the more predictions made, the lower the accuracy; specific price points were almost all predicted incorrectly; however, judgments regarding improvements in policy environment were generally quite accurate. This reflects that institutions have a fairly accurate understanding of the industry's development direction, but their ability to predict specific data is limited.
It is worth noting that most institutions are overly optimistic about Bitcoin's price
BTC0.24%
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#比特币价格分析 Recent Bitcoin price experienced a sharp fluctuation followed by a rebound, attracting widespread market attention. From the data, BTC has risen 10% to over $93,000, with market capitalization once again approaching $2 trillion. More notably, BlackRock CEO Larry Fink revealed that some sovereign wealth funds are taking the opportunity to gradually buy Bitcoin, increasing holdings in the $80,000 range to establish long-term positions. This trend indicates that institutional investors are optimistic about Bitcoin's long-term prospects. Considering the current macro environment, Bitcoin
BTC0.24%
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#美联储货币政策前景 According to the latest economic data, the outlook for the Federal Reserve's monetary policy seems to be subtly changing. The Organization for Economic Co-operation and Development (OECD) forecasts that the Federal Reserve will gradually cut interest rates to 3.25%-3.5%, and the futures market has increased the probability of a rate cut in December to 87.6%. These signals suggest that market expectations for a policy shift by the Federal Reserve are strengthening.
At the same time, it is worth noting that the OECD has raised its forecast for US economic growth in 2025-2026. This ma
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#比特币价格预测 The latest news indicates that the market is concerned about the arrival of a new "crypto winter." From on-chain data, there are no signs of large-scale sell-offs at the moment, but funds are indeed gradually flowing out. Regarding Bitcoin price predictions, the probability of dropping below $80,000 in December on Polymarket has risen to 55%, reflecting a pessimistic market sentiment.
However, I believe it is still premature to determine that we are entering a winter. Compared to previous cycles, there have been no major black swan events like Mt. Gox or FTX this time. The current ad
BTC0.24%
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#美国加密货币监管 Noted that Russia may relax cryptocurrency regulations. This development is worth monitoring and could indicate a shift in the global crypto regulatory landscape. From on-chain data, no obvious changes in capital flow have been observed so far. However, if the policy is implemented, it is expected to boost trading activity for addresses related to Russia. It is recommended to continue tracking the fund movements of large Russian wallets and contract interactions, as these may serve as leading indicators of policy implementation. At the same time, remain vigilant for potential risks
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#PancakeSwap预测市场功能 From the perspective of information content, the differences between prediction markets and traditional gambling platforms are indeed significant. The key distinctions lie in the price formation mechanism,用途, participant structure, and regulatory logic. Prediction markets adopt order book matching pricing, and the data generated has economic value. Participants are mostly information arbitrageurs, and they are regarded as financial derivatives in terms of regulation. In contrast, gambling platforms set odds by the house, mainly for entertainment consumption, with participan
CAKE-4.66%
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#比特币ETF资金流入 This news is very interesting. Franklin has launched a Solana spot ETF, which makes me think of the capital inflow situation of Bitcoin ETFs. Currently, the capital inflow trend for Bitcoin ETFs remains strong, but the emergence of the Solana ETF may divert some investors' attention. However, in the long run, diversification of cryptocurrency ETF products is beneficial for the entire industry. Next, I will closely monitor the capital inflow of the Solana ETF to see if it will impact Bitcoin ETFs. At the same time, we should also pay attention to whether other mainstream public cha
SOL0.55%
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#美联储利率政策预期 Analyzing recent market trends, the expectations of Federal Reserve rate cuts and crypto-friendly policies are creating a favorable environment. Although Bitcoin, BCH, and others are performing well, Ethereum and the overall market remain relatively lagging. This may be due to factors such as liquidity tightening triggered by the "1011" event and four-year cycle resonance. However, as the negative factors are gradually digested, the market may end its 60-day adjustment. The future market outlook is worth looking forward to, but investors should remain patient and wise. It is recomm
BTC0.24%
BCH2.47%
ETH-0.17%
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#美国加密货币监管进展 This message warrants in-depth analysis. CZ denies any relation to the Trump family but expresses a desire to help the US become a crypto capital. From a data perspective, Binance US's market share has plummeted from 35% to less than 1%, reflecting the significant impact of regulatory pressure on its business. However, CZ seems to see a new window of opportunity, planning to re strategize in the US market through investments, supporting startups, and promoting the BNB ecosystem. This could indicate that the regulatory environment for cryptocurrencies in the US is easing. Moving fo
BNB0.51%
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#代币销售与分发 After reviewing related information, Kalshi, a prediction market platform, completed a $1 billion financing under regulatory pressure, with a valuation reaching $11 billion, which is indeed surprising. This reflects the huge demand for prediction markets in the United States, but also highlights the legal risks involved. Based on on-chain data, this financing is likely to bring a significant influx of funds. It is recommended to closely monitor Kalshi's token distribution plans and the fund flow of large address holders, as these could have a notable impact on the market. At the same
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#加密预测市场发展 Prediction market platform Kalshi completes $1 billion in funding, with a valuation of $11 billion. This figure is indeed remarkable. Analyzing this event, I believe there are several key points worth noting:
First, this reflects investors' optimism about the future potential of prediction markets. Although the regulatory environment remains unclear, capital is still willing to make large bets, indicating a generally positive outlook for the industry.
Second, Kalshi's ability to achieve trading volume growth and valuation increase under regulatory pressure demonstrates its unique bu
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