#美联储货币政策前景 According to the latest economic data, the outlook for the Federal Reserve's monetary policy seems to be subtly changing. The Organization for Economic Co-operation and Development (OECD) forecasts that the Federal Reserve will gradually cut interest rates to 3.25%-3.5%, and the futures market has increased the probability of a rate cut in December to 87.6%. These signals suggest that market expectations for a policy shift by the Federal Reserve are strengthening.

At the same time, it is worth noting that the OECD has raised its forecast for US economic growth in 2025-2026. This may indicate that the market believes the US economy is likely to achieve a soft landing and avoid recession risks. However, the OECD also warns of potential risks such as trade protectionism and fiscal sustainability.

From on-chain data, these policy expectation changes could influence the flow of funds in the crypto assets market. It is recommended to closely monitor large address fund movements and stablecoin minting activities to capture shifts in market sentiment. At the same time, caution should be exercised regarding volatility risks brought by policy uncertainties.