2025-12-16 21:00:19

#美国非农就业数据表现强劲 The bears are holding the 8500 level tightly, waiting for a move from the Bank of Japan. The crypto market is likely to face a wave.

Recently, US non-farm payroll data has been quite strong, and just looking at the numbers can feel the market's tension. If Japan really starts an interest rate hike cycle, the signal of liquidity tightening will transmit to the global markets—including cryptocurrencies. Historical experience shows that every time major central banks shift to tightening, crypto prices tend to come under pressure.

This is the current situation: the bulls have hit a wall a few times above, while the bears are firmly stuck at this price level. Whoever blinks first loses. If macroeconomic data continues to confirm tightening expectations, the downward pressure will only increase.

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LightningHarvester

· 12-16 21:29

Here it comes again. Every time the central bank takes action, the coin gets hammered. It's really annoying. Once Japan really starts to move, I’m afraid the 8500 level won’t hold. The shorts have already been itching to strike. Non-farm data is so strong that even the bears are getting bolder. Now it’s just a matter of who can hold on first. When macro tightens, the whole world resonates. The crypto market is the hardest hit, history repeating itself. This bullish wave is really a bit risky. We've hit walls several times and it feels like the defenses are about to break. Honestly, it’s just waiting for the Bank of Japan’s move. When the moment comes, it might be too late to react if it really drops. Holding the 8500 level for so long isn’t easy. I just fear one piece of news could cause a crash.

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MindsetExpander

· 12-16 21:27

8500 is really a curse, it feels like the short sellers are defending the market a bit too aggressively. The Bank of Japan's recent move is truly a sword hanging over our heads; once they act, the crypto market will have to tremble. History repeats itself this way: every tightening cycle results in a round of pain. The bulls now feel somewhat isolated and helpless. Once liquidity tightens, all assets have to kneel. Who breaks first is out; the game is this simple and brutal. With such heartbreaking macro data, the room for movement below is probably going to be squeezed out.

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LiquidityHunter

· 12-16 21:26

Liquidity depth data at the 8500 level is crucial; the amount of short positions accumulated determines how large the slippage will be. --- When the Bank of Japan moves, the global liquidity gap instantly becomes apparent. At this time, DEX spreads will soar, and arbitrage opportunities are abundant... --- Historical data is displayed here. During tightening cycles, the average decline in coin prices is between 35-48%. Currently, the pressure still needs to be tested further. --- The bulls and bears have been stuck at 8500 for so long, indicating that liquidity counterparties are sufficient. True collapse usually occurs when liquidity dries up, and it hasn't happened yet. --- Strong non-farm payroll data is actually a signal, indicating that tightening expectations are already priced in. Next, we will see if abnormal volatility can create enough arbitrage opportunities.

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SatoshiHeir

· 12-16 21:25

It should be pointed out that your argument framework has a fundamental flaw—confusing the causal relationship between liquidity contraction and downward pressure on the coin price. On-chain data shows that during previous shifts in central bank policies, Bitcoin's correlation did not follow the linear pattern you described... --- Are you talking about the Bank of Japan again? Laughs. When Kuroda Haruhiko eased policy in 2015, you said the same thing. And look what happened? --- Undoubtedly, the 8500 level is indeed a psychological barrier, but those who sanctify it are just slaves to technical analysis. --- Let's return to the original thinking of Satoshi Nakamoto's white paper: Bitcoin is inherently resistant to liquidity tightening. And yet, you are afraid? --- Short sellers holding firm? Wake up. The actions of on-chain whales have long explained everything. --- Everyone, listen to me. Every time there's talk of "central banks tightening," retail investors start to panic collectively, while the smart money has already been accumulating. --- Continuing to confirm macro data? Are you sure the data itself hasn't been distorted in interpretation? --- Based on the following arguments, the actions of the Bank of Japan are far less capable of shaking the fundamental structure of the crypto market than you think.

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LiquidationKing

· 12-16 21:21

The Bank of Japan is really taking action, we need to run away here 8500 is just a paper tiger, it will still plunge if broken Non-farm payrolls are so strong, the bulls really can't hold on anymore Whenever the central banks make a move, the coins have to kneel, same old trick Waiting to see Japan's side, this is the real fuse

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MissedAirdropAgain

· 12-16 21:03

8500 this level is really tough. As soon as the Bank of Japan moves, we have to run. With such strong non-farm data, liquidity is probably really going to tighten. Both bulls and bears are holding their breath here, waiting to see who can't hold on first. The central bank's shift towards tightening, the crypto prices really can't escape this. Now just waiting to see how macro data will play out next. Historical experience tells us that this time probably won't be any better. A bit nervous, feeling that a dip is really just a matter of time.

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