BTC Chip Concentration Warning: The current position has not yet entered the high-risk zone, and the probability of significant short-term fluctuations is limited.

【Blockchain Rhythm】There is an angle worth paying attention to—BTC chip concentration is actually a good signal for predicting that the market is “about to stir up a storm.”

In simple terms, when the chip concentration within a 5% range of the spot price breaks through 13%, it’s time to be alert, because this is a warning line; if it surpasses 15%, then you need to be even more cautious, as it enters the high-risk zone. The more concentrated the chips are, the greater the possibility and magnitude of sharp fluctuations—this logic is easy to understand.

Let’s look at the current situation: BTC chip concentration is stuck at around 11%, which is a medium-high level, and the warning bell hasn’t rung yet. From this perspective, if there are no external shocks, the probability of a large short-term fluctuation is actually not high. Moreover, from the structure of the chips themselves, there are no conditions that easily trigger a “chain reaction.”

However, two upcoming time points to watch are: the CPI data at 21:30 on the 18th and the Bank of Japan’s interest rate decision on the 19th. If these two economic data points do not produce significant surprises, market volatility should be contained within a “small disturbance” range. Remember the intense correction on August 5, 2024? Back then, the chip concentration had already exploded to 15%. It’s not as extreme now, so it’s unlikely to repeat that terrifying scene.