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Forecasting market track heating up: POLY token is about to launch, and the industry is entering a regulatory dividend period

Prediction markets are gradually entering the mainstream view, with leading exchanges planning to launch related products. Polymarket will also launch the POLY token to enhance governance rights and user incentives. The industry is rapidly maturing, and competitors have already partnered with mainstream media, indicating that prediction markets are evolving into mainstream financial tools. Changes in regulatory attitudes have a significant impact on the industry's development.
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AltcoinAnalystvip:
From the data, the time window for Polymarket's POLY airdrop is indeed quite tight. It is worth noting that although the prediction market TVL is increasing, its proportion relative to the total DeFi market cap remains significantly low. Historical data shows that similar sectors often come with regulatory risks, so caution is advised.
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Ethereum falls below $3000: Bottom positioning or the night before a crash? Revealing institutional fund movements

【Crypto World】When Ethereum reaches $3,000, the market splits into two camps—some call for cutting losses, while others quietly accumulate. From on-chain data, this may be an opportunity rather than a trap.
Holders' patience is being tested. History shows that crypto assets often hide the most substantial returns during pessimistic periods. When the market is in panic, spot buyers can accumulate the cheapest chips. Although there may be deeper adjustments in the short term, this phase is essentially a period of capital absorption.
More importantly, institutional actions. In the past week, Ethereum ETF net inflows reached 80,201 coins, equivalent to about $2.4 billion—this is not a figure that retail investors can generate. Institutions are quietly deploying, indicating their confidence in the mid-term market.
Don't overlook an important pattern: in a new cycle, Ethereum always follows Bitcoin. When BTC loses momentum and investors start looking for the next opportunity, hot money will rotate into E
ETH0.46%
BTC1.9%
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WhaleWatchervip:
Institutional accumulation of 800,000 coins won't deceive anyone. This time, it's all about who can resist selling off.
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BNB Chain launches a new stablecoin ecosystem plan

BNB Chain officially announces the upcoming launch of a new stablecoin based on its ecosystem, aimed at integrating liquidity resources in Web3 application scenarios, enhancing the flexibility of DeFi, payments, and cross-chain interactions, and optimizing the flow of funds within the ecosystem.
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BNB2.58%
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BTCRetirementFundvip:
Here comes the usual pump and dump again; I'm already tired of this stablecoin trick.
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a16z advises U.S. regulators: Clarify the boundary between registration obligations for blockchain Protocols and front-end Apps

US crypto investment firm a16z submitted digital asset regulatory comments to the CFTC, recommending exemption from additional registration for qualified blockchain protocols and smart contracts through no-action letters, while also hoping that frontend apps can receive similar guidance to avoid complex registration obligations. They also proposed establishing rules to create innovation exemptions, emphasizing the importance of clearly defining the boundaries between Protocol and App functions for industry standardization.
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MetaverseHermitvip:
Here comes another plea to the developers. a16z's move this time still understands the rules of the game well—first they launch a sweetened bait without taking action, then follow up with a wave of customized exemptions... Basically, they still want to loosen the constraints on the entire ecosystem.
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Stable Swap feature launched, Stable ecosystem welcomes AMM feature upgrade

On December 16th, Protofire's Stable Swap protocol was integrated into the Stable ecosystem, enhancing liquidity management capabilities, supporting multiple trading pair management and fee tier options, optimizing slippage performance, and increasing competitiveness.
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STABLE1.6%
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TrustlessMaximalistvip:
Stablecoin trading pairs, both V2 and V3, are really effective to use. I just wonder if the slippage will truly be optimized or if it's just another trend-following upgrade.
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US November employment data exceeds expectations, the Federal Reserve faces a dilemma between inflation and employment

The employment data released by the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics shows that 64,000 new jobs were added in November, and the unemployment rate rose to 4.6%. The labor market remains stable, but the Federal Reserve faces a complex situation in adjusting its policies, needing to balance employment and inflation pressures.
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Non-farm data unexpectedly rises, the US dollar index breaks down and falls, gold surges briefly

US November employment data shows the unemployment rate rising to 4.6%, with non-farm payrolls increasing by 64,000, exceeding expectations. Market reactions are mixed, with stock index futures rising, the US dollar weakening, the dollar index falling below 98, and spot gold rising, reflecting a re-pricing of market expectations for the Federal Reserve's policy.
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Hash_Banditvip:
nah the fed's difficulty adjustment ain't working out like they calculated... unemployment creeping up while jobs come in hot, that's some conflicting hashrate signals right there fr
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Mantle Hackathon surpasses 1,000 participants, with a $150,000 prize pool attracting developers from around the world

【CoinPush】Mantle Global's hackathon this year is really hot — over 1,000 registrations, with developers from more than 50 countries and regions participating, and 17 industry judges overseeing the entire process. The scale is indeed significant.
The track setup is thoughtfully designed, with a total of six categories: RWA, RealFi, DeFi, AI, ZK Privacy, Infrastructure, and GameFi, covering a comprehensive range. The prize pool is $150,000, showing great sincerity.
Interestingly, Mantle has recently established deep collaborations with major institutions like USDT, Aave, and a leading exchange, gradually strengthening its liquidity foundation and institutional-level service capabilities. These moves are not random — all aimed at the same goal: building a bridge between traditional finance and on-chain liquidity. Data shows that the Mantle ecosystem's asset size has already exceeded $4 billion, and the application scenarios for $MNT are gradually expanding.
MNT-1.7%
AAVE1.69%
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SudoRm-RfWallet/vip:
A thousand people breaking a thousand is indeed tough, but how many truly valuable projects can emerge? It still depends on whether the subsequent incubation and financing can keep up.

Mantle's recent collaboration with USDT and Aave is interesting; it feels like they're paving the way for traditional finance, but can the ecosystem really come to life? $4 billion sounds like a lot, but in reality...

I'm somewhat interested in the RWA track, but with $150,000 divided into six lines, averaging out to just that, it can't attract top developers.

How did it get mixed with GameFi? These two directions don't seem to fit well together.

How exactly is the $MNT application scenario being developed? I haven't heard any buzz about it.
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ADP employment data improves, signs of a clear rebound in hiring emerge in November

The latest ADP employment data shows that in the four weeks ending November 29, the private sector added an average of 16,250 jobs per week. The data for the second half of November was strong, suggesting a potential rebound in hiring, reflecting that the labor market still has vitality and warrants attention to future policies and investor confidence.
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AllInAlicevip:
Here we go again? The data looks good, but it still depends on how December turns out.
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Speed raises $8.06 million in funding, Tether supports USDT payment settlement based on the Lightning Network

【Chain Wen】In the realm of payment infrastructure, more and more projects are brainstorming. Speed has secured $8.06 million in funding, led by Tether with ego death capital participating. There's some interesting background behind this funding.
The project itself is a settlement network built on Bitcoin's Lightning Network and USDT. From the data, it processed approximately $1.5 billion in payments throughout the year, serving a combined user and merchant base of 1.2 million. This scale indicates that it’s not just a conceptual product; real traffic and application scenarios are in place.
The highlights are twofold: first, it offers instant settlement for BTC/USDT, which significantly improves efficiency for cross-border payments and merchants; second, it provides enterprise-level routing solutions, indicating that they are targeting the B2B market, not just interactions between players.
Tether’s investment this time also carries symbolic significance, as the application of USDT in payment scenarios is gradually advancing.
BTC1.9%
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Bitcoin faces key resistance at $86,400. Can the Federal Reserve's rate cut expectations boost the market?

The current cryptocurrency market is tense, with Bitcoin approaching $86,400 and a 24-hour decline of nearly 4%. The market is awaiting the US non-farm payroll data; if the results are poor, it could prompt the Federal Reserve to cut interest rates, providing a rebound opportunity. However, capital outflows are significant, with a net outflow of $357 million from spot Bitcoin ETFs on Monday, indicating that market sentiment remains subdued.
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BTC1.9%
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ChainBrainvip:
86400 if broken, our wave will really be over

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Interest rate cut expectations? Wake up, ETF net outflow is 357 million, indicating institutions are all fleeing

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Non-farm payroll data is the real boss, hoping it won't be another shock

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This sentiment... who still dares to buy the dip

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Waiting for the Federal Reserve again, feels like the crypto market is being hijacked by the US stock market

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Breaking 4% is a bit harsh, but that's just the daily life of crypto

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Funds are flowing out so fiercely, any chance of a rebound? I don't see it

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Every time they say "interest rate cut opportunity," but what happens... never mind, I won't watch anymore
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Football.Fun launches the FUN token public sale on Legion and Kraken, starting simultaneously at 9 PM tonight.

Football.Fun will raise funds on the Base chain. The FUN token public sale will go live tonight at 9 PM on Legion and Kraken, with a fundraising target of $3 million. Long-standing community users and users with high social scores will have priority access to the quota, making it worth the attention of sports prediction enthusiasts.
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FUN-0.26%
USD1-0.01%
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BoredWatchervip:
Is it really tonight at 9 PM? I need to set an alarm so I don't miss it again.

Projects on the Base chain have been really hot lately, a scale of 3 million is not small.

Existing users have priority quotas, now it depends on who can boost their social scores enough.

Sports predictions? I'm just here to watch the fun, let's see how they perform later.

Legion and Kraken are launching simultaneously, can't run on so many exchanges, better get ready.
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Is the AI bubble about to burst? Wall Street short sellers warn that the US stock market faces a crash risk in the second half of 2026

Market research firms warn that the AI boom may be nearing its end, with US tech investments reaching 4.4% of GDP, approaching internet bubble levels. The high depreciation rate of AI assets will impose significant costs on tech giants. It is expected that US stocks will face adjustments by 2026, but interest rate cuts could bring market liquidity, potentially supporting the performance of digital assets.
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TooScaredToSellvip:
400 billion in depreciation costs? That number makes my head hurt. It feels like the bubble is about to burst.
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Five Real Crypto Growth Pathways for 2025 and Beyond
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LINK: Institutions are increasing their holdings, and the price is testing the waters — is $12.78 the bottom?

[Crypto World] An interesting phenomenon has emerged. The fund flow for Chainlink is a bit different—since the Grayscale LINK ETF was launched in early December, there have been no outflows, with a net inflow of $54.69 million. Sounds pretty hot, right? But what about the price? Over the past month, it has actually fallen 11.1%, and the current trading price is $12.78.
Even more interesting is the activity on the wallet side. The top 100 large holders have been quietly buying since November last year, accumulating a total of 20.46 million LINK, with the market value of these assets reaching $263 million. In other words, institutions are quietly accumulating, but the market price hasn't kept up much.
This situation of "institutions increasing holdings while prices are in a correction" may indicate that LINK is undervalued. Analysts' views also point in the same direction—the support from US regulators for pilot tokenized assets, along with LINK's role in stablecoins and
LINK1.98%
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ImpermanentPhilosophervip:
Institutions are frantically buying up, yet prices are still falling? This is outrageous, it feels like they're waiting for some major event to happen.
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