#数字资产市场洞察 Recently reflected on a phenomenon: among traders around me, the more elaborate their trading models, the more likely they are to lose in a "stable" way.



A fan case left a deep impression. He started with 50,000 yuan and eventually grew his assets to 30 million. There were no secret tricks, let alone extraordinary talent—he simply simplified complex operational logic to the extreme.

His growth path is quite interesting: the first stage from 50,000 to 1.5 million took 2 years; the second stage from 1.5 million to 8 million only took 1 year; the third stage from 8 million to 30 million surprisingly only took 5 months. Later, during a chat, he summarized with one sentence— the speed of making money is actually inversely related to trading frequency.

His trading logic is super simple: focus on only one candlestick pattern. When an "M" shape appears—uptrend, pullback, then rise again—enter the trade and set a stop-loss; once the pattern breaks, immediately exit the position. No averaging down, no leverage—strictly stop-loss at 2%, take-profit at 10%, executed precisely.

Some mock him as "simple-minded," questioning how he makes money without watching moving averages, not chasing hot spots, or listening to rumors. But reality proved them wrong—the ones who watch more and trade more often tend to lose faster.

His chart interface only displays a light gray 20-day moving average. Every day at 9:50 AM, he spends 5 minutes scanning the 4-hour candlestick chart: if the pattern matches, he places an order; if not, he shuts down the computer. What does he do the rest of the time? Drink coffee, walk the dog, spend time with family—that’s the lifestyle a trader should have.

Once reaching a certain capital size, his risk management becomes very rational: when he hits 1.5 million, he withdraws all the original principal; at 8 million, he takes out half to invest in funds and fixed-term products; the remaining continues to compound in the market. Even if the crypto market crashes hard, his positions remain rock-solid, and his mindset stays stable.

In summary, there are three iron rules: First, don’t chase the rise—only enter after the pattern is fully confirmed; second, don’t hold onto losing positions—exit decisively once the price breaks; third, don’t fight the trend—take profits when the target is reached and walk away.

There’s no magical "Holy Grail" indicator in the crypto world—only a "sieve" that can filter out restless mindsets. Those who patiently sift through the market with this sieve again and again will eventually leave behind their own wealth.

Don’t delude yourself with stories of overnight wealth. But if you can steadily achieve 10% returns 20 times, turning 50,000 into 10 million is really just a matter of time.
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BanklessAtHeartvip
· 4h ago
After looking at this case, I truly believe that simplicity is the key. Those who spend all day researching complex models simply don't understand the essence of trading. Execution is the most important indicator. It's not about how much you know, but how many times you can consistently get it right.
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TerraNeverForgetvip
· 12-17 14:33
That's right, focus less on indicators and more on the market. Those who spend all day tweaking parameters tend to die young.
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Rugman_Walkingvip
· 12-17 14:33
Simplicity is king. Those flashy indicators are really just IQ taxes. --- From 50,000 to 30 million, the key is not overthinking and mechanical execution. It sounds simple but it really makes money. --- Spending 5 minutes a day watching the market and then taking the dog for a walk—that's my ideal trading life. --- The scariest thing is smart people always trying to find that perfect curve. The more they research, the more they lose. --- That 20-day moving average brother really gets it now. Complex indicators are just noise. --- No leverage, strict stop-loss. It doesn't sound exciting, but it's the only way to survive. --- Getting several times returns in a year or stable compound interest over five years. People in the crypto circle are still chasing the former. Truly speechless. --- The N-shaped pattern is so simple logically, yet it's the most profitable. Irony. --- Look at those who change strategies every day. They lose more in a month than this guy makes in a year. --- Stop-loss at 2%, take-profit at 10%. Easy to say, but not one in ten people actually stick to it.
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GweiWatchervip
· 12-17 14:28
This guy is right, it's just a matter of execution. The people I know are the same; the more they mess around, the more they lose. --- Honestly, it's just two words: self-discipline. Most people can't do it. --- Scan once in 5 minutes and then turn off the computer? That’s the real way to make money; everything else is just gambler’s mentality. --- I laughed when I saw the phrase "simple-minded," but their account really isn't simple at all. --- 20-day moving average N-shape pattern—such a simple thing can actually make money, isn’t that ironic? --- The key is still the 2% stop-loss, 99% of people probably can't do it. Once the level breaks, just cut it. Thinking about it hurts. --- From 50,000 to 30 million, the speed is actually getting faster? What does that mean? The calmer you are, the more you make. --- No additional positions or leverage; this already eliminates most people. The vast majority get wiped out by these two.
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BridgeTrustFundvip
· 12-17 14:24
Bro, I agree with this set of theories, but very few people can actually implement them. Greed is ingrained in our genes.
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DYORMastervip
· 12-17 14:19
Talking about profits on paper is the easiest way to make money, so why bother trading? --- Basically, it's living in an ideal world. --- Let me find that N-shaped pattern first, then I'll talk. Still searching now. --- Stop loss at 2%, take profit at 10%. Sounds simple, but how about execution? --- I used to believe this logic three years ago, now I just lol. --- The question is, does your 5-minute scan and my 5-minute scan find the same things? --- From 50,000 to 30 million, is it just a matter of time? Bro, that's the biggest survivor bias. --- The most heartbreaking thing is, I also want to focus on just one pattern, but my stop-loss frequency is also quite stable. --- Everyone's a hindsight strategist; who hasn't had losing trades?
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GmGmNoGnvip
· 12-17 14:07
Well said. This guy is a true example of "simplicity at its best." I've also seen a few people like this around me. The more tricks they try, the faster they crash. Truly. Compound interest relies on mindset and discipline, not on researching fancy indicators. There's some truth to that. The most painful part is the phrase "profit speed and trading frequency are inversely related." Many people don't understand it, and they keep staring at the charts every day, which destroys their mindset. I need to think more about the ratio of stop-loss at 2% and take-profit at 10%. It feels like a certain sample size is needed to truly see the effects of compounding. It makes me wonder, what if someone hits several black swan events in a row? Would their psychological defenses collapse? How did this guy get through it? A life winner, earning a little daily, a percentage monthly—much more rational than those crazy people trying to double their positions.
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