Ethereum's行情 yesterday was just oscillating back and forth there, and my positions were also fluctuating. After a few trades, I lost quite a bit, and in the end, I could only reduce my position size and take some small profits to cut losses. Currently, this price level is a bit awkward; whether short or long, it seems to be passive. My outlook on the subsequent行情倾向于偏空, but Bitcoin seems to have short-term rebound动力,预计能打到3000附近, then re-enter short positions. The range between 3000 and 3100 might be a good shorting opportunity. If everything goes smoothly this week, I should be able to see the

#以太坊行情技术解读 Ethereum has recently been oscillating between 2920 and 2880, indicating it is looking for support in the short term. On the upside, focus on the resistance zone between 3020 and 3150. If it can break through here, there is still room for a rebound. $XRP is also worth paying attention to for subsequent movements.

Recently, the decline of $FOLKS has been quite sharp. This price movement has made many people start to doubt—adding more positions could really lead to being caught in a trap. Honestly, in this kind of rapid decline, it's easy to trigger stop-losses accidentally, which can also cause leveraged positions to blow up. Watching the unrealized losses on the holdings is indeed uncomfortable. At such times, it's better to stay calm and not try to bottom fish just because the price is falling sharply; risk management always comes first.

#加密生态动态追踪 $ZEC Bull Trap or Last Stand? The Technicals Have the Answer
The market is telling a brutal story.
Look at the current situation:
• Price is being suppressed by moving averages, RSI is in oversold territory, all technical signals are bearish
• The long liquidation wave continues, with each stop-loss becoming "fuel" for further decline
• Smart money is moving secretly, large orders frequently hitting the market to probe for lows
This is not scare tactics; the data is speaking.
ZEC’s defensive threshold is clear: 385 is the first line of defense. Once broken, the deep support at 350 be

The Federal Reserve's early morning rate cut decision triggered intense volatility in the crypto market. Dogecoin was hit hardest, directly breaking below the key level of $0.1407, and briefly falling to a session low of $0.1372. The speed of this decline was so rapid that it caught many off guard—many traders who bought high are now likely silent.
Interestingly, while rate cuts are generally expected to be bullish for liquidity, the market played a "buy the rumor, sell the fact" game. This reflects traders' pessimistic expectations about the policy's effectiveness and a reaffirmation of the c

#大户持仓变化 PENDLE Spot Price Trend Observation | 20251216 23:00 UTC
The recent performance of PENDLE has been quite interesting—down 4.56% in 24 hours, with signals from technical and fundamental aspects conflicting, and whale activity quite active.
First, on the technical side. The MACD just crossed above the signal line, and the histogram has turned positive, indicating a bullish signal for a while. The price is also pushing towards the upper band of the Bollinger Bands, showing signs of rebounding from the 2.036 level. But the problem is, the 25-hour moving average is at 2.016, and the 99-hour

Recently returning from San Francisco, a dinner discussion sparked my thoughts on the US regional economic outlook for next year. While everyone is talking about Florida, New York, and California, I see potential in another state — Texas.
Why do I say that? Let’s look at the data.
Among the major developed states, Texas exhibits a unique combination: second in the nation for GDP growth rate, second in Fortune 1000 company headquarters, but most importantly — it has the lowest median home price among these four states. In other words, it has a more favorable cost structure and greater growth po

#大户持仓变化 The on-chain changes over the past two weeks are quite alarming. The top ten addresses' holdings share dropped from 93% to 89.9%, a decrease of 3 percentage points in just two weeks. Everyone understands what this means — whales are selling off. So who will take this 3% of the market? To put it bluntly, project teams might be laughing all the way to the bank.
How low do they want to push the price with this move? Looking at it now, any notion of value investing has long become a joke. Well, since the fundamentals are no longer stable, why not go all-in on a few hot meme coins and try

The Bank of Japan has completed a historic policy shift over the past year.
In March 2024, Japan raised interest rates for the first time since 2007, adjusting the policy rate from -0.1% to the 0%-0.1% range. This move, seemingly moderate, broke an 8-year period of negative interest rates, and the market began to sense a change in direction.
By July 31, the Bank of Japan implemented an unexpected rate hike, directly raising the rate to 0.25%. This exceeded market expectations and triggered intense volatility across global financial markets—from stocks to cryptocurrencies—feeling the impact of

A few days ago, I shared my view and predicted that the price could fall to the 2850 level. As a result, on the 11th, it suddenly surged to 3400. This rebound, frankly, is an opportunity for those trying to bottom fish and those caught in the trap.
However, smashing the market is a foregone conclusion. The upcoming trend will likely fluctuate within the 2760 to 3140 range, with oscillations up and down. This process is the market's self-purification. Those who play with high leverage and are blinded by greed will ultimately be washed out. Only by clearing out these people can the market's heal

#加密生态动态追踪 What exactly is the cryptocurrency market
To friends who are new to the scene, let me share some honest thoughts. What’s the biggest difference between crypto and stocks? 24/7 trading, active even on weekends. It’s open all year round, with no circuit breaker mechanism to protect you.
Contracts are very tempting, with leverage options from 1x to 125x. But I advise beginners not to touch them. Why? Because cryptocurrencies have no daily price fluctuation limits. You might think 5x leverage is safe, but a 20% move can trigger a liquidation. Your account gets wiped out, and you wake up.

U.S. non-farm payrolls just came out, and this show is a bit interesting——on the surface, 64,000 new jobs were added, but looking closer, the unemployment rate actually jumped, and last month's data was even forcibly revised downward by 100,000. This thing is really unstable.
Where's the problem? The "aftereffects" of the government shutdown have messed up the statistics. Even Powell has preemptively warned: don’t take this data too seriously. The market's reaction was unexpectedly calm, even somewhat optimistic.
Why? Because this precisely gives the Federal Reserve the room to step down gradu

There are only 15 days left before saying goodbye to 2025. This year, the predictions for Bitcoin's year-end outlook from industry insiders seem to vary widely.
The conservative Standard Chartered Bank has forecasted $100,000, which is relatively restrained. But as we look down the list, the numbers become more optimistic—basketball star Thompson predicts $150,000, JPMorgan sees $170,000, and asset management giant VanEck believes it could reach $180,000.
In the middle tier, Tom Lee and Bernstein both set a target of $200,000. However, the most aggressive prediction comes from the veteran Arth

#美国非农就业数据表现强劲 It's become nothing new. Every time major data is released, the market always experiences a fierce rally first—especially when the data exceeds expectations, FOMO sentiment instantly ignites, funds flow in, and the coin price surges straight up. But the good times rarely last long; after the heat subsides, it falls into a long downward cycle. This pattern of "good news at the peak" repeats itself, reflecting excessive market emotion—everyone is chasing that fleeting opportunity but ignoring the long-term support of fundamentals. Major news like non-farm payrolls exceeding expecta

I have recently witnessed a novice's transformation—over three months, starting with a capital of 3,000U, it has grown to 30,000U, and now the account has surpassed 86,000U, all without liquidation. Some say it's luck, but in fact there is a complete methodology behind it. This logic is also the core secret of how I evolved from initial capital to my current asset scale. Today, let's have a chat about it.
**First Layer: Capital Triangular Division Method**
Full position trading = inevitable liquidation, this is the iron law of the crypto world. How should 3,000U be allocated? Think of splittin

#大户持仓变化 Non-farm payrolls are coming, and the data is weak. The unemployment rate has actually become a support, with gold once surging to the 4326 level, but the rebound strength is not enough to look too far. This height is almost reached now, and there are no big opportunities in the short term. It is recommended that those holding long positions take profits when the trend turns favorable and avoid greed. If you want to continue shorting, you can position around the 4330 key level, with a target in the 4300 to 4275 range. The risk-reward ratio is still quite good.

Many retail investors are trapped in a deadly misconception—thinking that the worst that can happen is the coin price dropping to zero, and that holding on will eventually turn things around. Little do they know, this is precisely the beginning of catastrophic losses.
The collapse of LUNA in 2022 best illustrates this point. In 48 hours, it plummeted from $119 to $10, a 91.6% decline. At this point, a large number of bottom-fishers rushed in, thinking they had found a bargain. But what happened next? 36 hours later, LUNA dropped to $0.1. Those who went all-in at $10 saw their principal evapora

#加密生态动态追踪 Recently, I’ve been keeping an eye on the market and found some interesting points. $BTC is currently at the 86,600 level. If it continues to fall back, we might see 85,000. If it breaks below 85,000, then 83,700 could be the next support level.
$ETH and $SOL also need attention, as their movements often reflect the overall market trend ahead of time. The crypto market has been quite volatile lately, so it's normal not to have a clear judgment. The key is to find the right approach—what’s the logic for bullishness, what are the reasons for bearishness. Thinking through both sides cl

#美联储降息 The Federal Reserve's pace of interest rate cuts is reshaping the landscape of the crypto market. During this window, many emerging cryptocurrencies are trying to seize the opportunity. Projects like Hakeemi and Vulgar Penguin are worth watching — whether in terms of technological innovation or community enthusiasm, they have shown different resilience during this policy cycle. Of course, this is just personal observation and not investment advice. The market is always a game of chance, and the key is to see how the Federal Reserve's actual actions will evolve in the future.

#美国证券交易委员会推进数字资产监管框架创新 Tonight is destined to stay up late again—two major economic data releases are imminent. Has the market already digested this wave of decline, or will the real test only come when the data is released? This is a question worth paying close attention to.
Right now, the direction of $BTC and $ETH mainly depends on whether the market can hold steady before the data drops. Sometimes the market reacts unexpectedly, and other times it is surprisingly sluggish. Regardless, tonight will surely have several waves of volatility—some are bullish, some are bearish, and ultimately,