Triple witching expiration is a quarterly event where stock options, index options, and index futures expire together.
Today, $7.1 trillion worth of these financial instruments will expire, making it the biggest one ever.
Talking about the S&P 500 first, the average return on the last 14 triple witching events is -0.5%.
This is a sign that markets tend to move downside on this day, rather than a rally.
In 2025, all triple witching events have been bearish for BTC.
21st March 2025: $BTC dropped 16% after the triple witching event. 20th June 2025: $BTC dropped 7.7% after the triple witching event. 19th Sept 2025: $BTC dropped 7.5% after the triple witching event.
Given that the crypto market is still weak, another sell-off could definitely happen.
Also, crypto has been the worst-performing asset this year, so a lot of tax harvesting selling has been ongoing.
Apart from this, there's another big event related to crypto coming next week.
"Quarterly options expiry."
On 26th December, $23.56 billion in BTC options and $3.78 billion in ETH options will expire.
This could also bring a lot of volatility, which means 2025 would probably end on a bad note for crypto.
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THE BIGGEST TRIPLE WITCHING EXPIRY WILL HAPPEN TODAY.
And this is how $BTC reacted to this in the past.
Triple witching expiration is a quarterly event where stock options, index options, and index futures expire together.
Today, $7.1 trillion worth of these financial instruments will expire, making it the biggest one ever.
Talking about the S&P 500 first, the average return on the last 14 triple witching events is -0.5%.
This is a sign that markets tend to move downside on this day, rather than a rally.
In 2025, all triple witching events have been bearish for BTC.
21st March 2025: $BTC dropped 16% after the triple witching event.
20th June 2025: $BTC dropped 7.7% after the triple witching event.
19th Sept 2025: $BTC dropped 7.5% after the triple witching event.
Given that the crypto market is still weak, another sell-off could definitely happen.
Also, crypto has been the worst-performing asset this year, so a lot of tax harvesting selling has been ongoing.
Apart from this, there's another big event related to crypto coming next week.
"Quarterly options expiry."
On 26th December, $23.56 billion in BTC options and $3.78 billion in ETH options will expire.
This could also bring a lot of volatility, which means 2025 would probably end on a bad note for crypto.