#预测市场 Seeing this wave of new token launches, honestly, I'm a bit cautious. Upheaval, Yield Basis, Tea, Limitless, Goated… so many projects launching within a week—what's the underlying logic?

Getting back to the fundamentals—market prediction is especially worth paying attention to. Limitless is doing prediction contracts on Base, with a trading volume of $270 million—sounds tempting, but don’t forget it was accused of wash trading. The easiest way for such projects is to attract early participants with incentives; once the tokens are unlocked, liquidity often drops sharply.

Here's another detail: Tea's pre-sale tokens are 100% unlocked at TGE, but testnet users weren’t promised airdrops, leading the community to suspect "possibly a scam." This design itself hints at something—perhaps the team’s lack of confidence in long-term user retention.

Upheaval's oversubscription of 870%, and Goated's initial FDV reaching $88 million… what do these numbers really mean? Are they driven by genuine demand or just a FOMO-fueled bubble? I've seen too many projects like this—surge on TGE day, halving within a week, and zeroing out in three months.

Most importantly, the project's real cash flow. Goated has stable revenue, which is a plus. But what about Limitless? Can Upheaval’s trading volume sustain? These are the key factors determining whether the token price can stabilize.

Rather than blindly participating in every new launch, ask yourself: what real problem does this project’s token solve? If there’s no answer, don’t touch it. Longevity is harder to achieve than quick riches—and more valuable.