2026-01-04 15:09:04

The overall K-line trend shows a W-bottom pattern, with the bottom gradually rising, indicating a rebound demand!

Currently, the price is above the MA990451 USD, with the blue line representing the MA20 trendline providing support, indicating short-term bullish strength.
Key support below: 85,000; if broken, it may test the liquidity zone at 80,000 USD. Resistance above: 95,000-100,000 USD.
Bollinger Bands: Currently in an "squeeze" state(bandwidth narrowing), with extremely low volatility. Historically, such patterns often experience large fluctuations, and a short-term upward breakout is more likely.
RSI is around 50, moving away from oversold territory, suggesting accumulation of rebound momentum. If it exceeds 70, a dominant bullish trend can be confirmed.
MACD: The histogram may shift from negative to positive. If a crossover of the signal line occurs, it will reinforce a short-term upward signal.
Scenario (Probability 60%): Mild rebound, target 9.5k-10k
Pessimistic scenario (15%): Pullback weakens, target 80k-85k USD
January's trend leans more towards a mild rebound in January, with Q1 overall tending to an optimistic scenario. The only concern is that before rising, there might be a dip, leading to a pessimistic scenario, which would be the most painful!

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