ChenJiaguanA
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From a short-term perspective, the short-term rebound momentum of Bitcoin has shown signs of weakening on the hourly chart. The upward strength is clearly insufficient, which directly reflects the market's low enthusiasm for chasing highs. The short-term trend is likely to be dominated by oscillation and digestion.
Above key support levels, a cautious and optimistic trading approach can be maintained; if support levels are broken with increased volume, caution should be exercised as a deep correction may occur.
Currently, the market is showing weakness. Trading strategies can combine short-ter
BTC-0.2%
ETH-0.54%
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The AlItcoin Season Index remains at 35.
What does this usually mean:
BTC is the main character, while altcoins are in the background like "Can I have a line?"
You'll see some random +30% green candles, then the same coin drops -18% the next day, as if it suddenly remembers it still has bills to pay.
The real "altcoin season" is when this index exceeds 50 and stays stable there... and when it hits 70+, everything starts to surge, and someone in your group chat begins to say "We're still early"( actually isn't).
My view: it's not altcoin season yet; BTC still holds the remote control.
BTC-0.2%
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Really not even pretending anymore
It rises a bit then it hits the ceiling
It goes up and then comes down
Just this back and forth
Within an hour, within an hour
A profit of over 60 million HY holdings ​​​
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The sexy pullback is here.
Currently, all the short-term liquidity below 90,000 has been wiped out. Between 90,000 and 90,500, there are a total of 1.2 million in sell orders. Not sure if they can be absorbed; this is a wall.
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BTC weekly trend analysis shows that the current movement is indeed in a weak phase, but weakness does not mean there are no opportunities!
Referring to previous cycles, after a trend phase, a temporary bottom usually appears, roughly around three months, followed by a decent rebound rally.
This rebound typically lasts about 2 months, meaning there will be at least a small upward movement; even in a bear market, prices won't keep falling forever.
So, don't panic. The temporary bottom may have already arrived, around the 80,000 level. The current fluctuations are all preparations for a subse
BTC-0.2%
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There's an interesting thing: BTC has dropped more than 30% three times in this cycle. The first two times were excellent buying opportunities.
BTC-0.2%
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Basically, all of BTC's gains this year have come on Wednesdays.
This is a pretty crazy statistic, with noticeable differences between different dates.
Thursdays and Fridays are the days with the most declines.
On average, other days are basically flat.
BTC-0.2%
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LTH selling pressure has recently picked up, exerting some pressure on BTC. Although the distribution scale remains below November, it is higher than the two cyclical bottom periods of August 2024 and April 2025.
Meanwhile, the FBS curve continues to slowly recover, indicating that the demand from new investors is gradually returning. The FBS rebound will not immediately trigger a V-shaped price reversal; during this period, BTC typically remains volatile, and there may even be a secondary bottom.
Considering the current situation where LTH selling pressure increases again after the price stab
BTC-0.2%
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A gap appeared at the opening of BTC, and most of it has already been quickly filled as usual.
Technically, there is still a small part that hasn't been filled, but it can be almost ignored.
So, there is nothing important to focus on this week regarding the gap.
BTC-0.2%
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Weekly Outlook
1. Overall weak this week: the price pierced down to 876 and closed below 883 EQ, but remains near the consolidation zone EG. Currently, the main focus is on the consolidation position; if the price spends most of the time below 883, the bias is bearish. Watch for support at 8578. If the price can hold above 883 and consolidate, then look for a possible breakout above 906, followed by 925, and then a test of 94-95.
2. This week is a busy news week:
- 12.16 US November Non-Farm Payrolls
- 12.17 Fed officials' speeches
- 12.18 US November CPI
- 12.19 Japan Monetary Policy Meeting
BTC-0.2%
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BTC Order Book Liquidity Change(±1%):
Big red bars → support is being pulled away → rapid price decline.
Currently mainly small green bars, but the price remains weak, buyers are present, but the scale is still insufficient.
Points of focus:
> Stable green bars + no new lows = a bottom is forming
> Another red bar washout = risk of rapid decline
Recapturing and holding steady at $90-91K is the first real sign of relief
BTC-0.2%
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BTC94k remains a strong resistance
Need to break through the 94K resistance level
To make a bigger step forward
Currently, higher lows are still being maintained
Losing this market structure is what traders want to avoid
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SimpleGetRichvip:
BTC94k remains a strong resistance
Need to break through the 94K resistance level
To make a bigger step forward
Currently, higher lows are still being maintained
Losing this market structure is what traders want to avoid
BTC is hovering around the previous support and resistance zone ( approximately 89-90K).
For traders, holding this support is crucial moving forward.
We have just experienced the largest correction within this cycle, driven by heavy spot selling and panic emotions as the four-year cycle ends.
Currently, this price range seems to have some demand. Keep an eye on these higher time frame areas and observe the price reactions.
At the moment, the daily downtrend has clearly stalled, and lower to mid-time frames are attempting to shift back to a bullish market structure.
However, to confirm this ful
BTC-0.2%
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BTC is consolidating around the $94K level, acting as resistance near the 4-hour 200MA/EMA and the recent high points over the past few weeks.
This is a critical breakout zone for Bitcoin to reverse its momentum and turn bullish in the short to medium term.
BTC-0.2%
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Since the launch of the US ETF, BTC has not bottomed out within the first 10 days of the month for five months.
The market structure changed in November after the liquidation crash in October.
So far, BTC has bottomed out within the first 10 days of December.
It looks like the market structure has returned.
BTC-0.2%
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The market started moving at 2:30 AM, wiping out all the short liquidity from yesterday. Now the situation has reversed again, and all the liquidity has gathered back below.
931,000 placed a 52.63 million sell order, 94,800 placed a 68.83 million sell order.
A super sell wall reappeared before 95k.
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BTC, isn't the price going up again? Many people keep bugging me about being a long bull.
I won't try to steer the trend; I just respect the trend.
The current trend is a oscillating upward movement. As long as it doesn't break 876, the daily chart remains an uptrend.
Last night I said, a break of 905 could be a buy signal. Looking at the 3-4 am period, this is where it stabilizes and moves upward.
Now that the price is rising, continue to watch for a test of 945-95. If rejected, it could be a sign of a bearish move.
BTC-0.2%
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ETH is rejected daily by the 200MA/EMA and around the $3350 level
But overall, ETH is performing relatively better compared to other parts of the market
The price trend may not look very good, but technically, since the November lows, it has still been in an uptrend
It's just that so far, this uptrend has been very volatile and fluctuating
Keep paying attention to those higher highs and higher lows
These are key for short-term/mid-term direction
ETH-0.54%
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After making a small dip to 895, the price has been consolidating at the 90,000 level all afternoon. You can see that the trading volume throughout the day has been extremely sluggish. Everyone is still waiting to see the US stock market's direction. Currently, both sides are engaged in a battle at the 90,000 level. For the bullish side, there are spot buy orders below 90,000. There are current sell walls below, waiting to exhaust the short-term sellers' momentum. Once there is positive news or strong buy orders coming in, it will be easy to test the 91,000 and 92,000 levels. In terms of strat
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