加密熊市背景下，科技金融股现反弹机会？期权交易员这样看

Question

【币界】加密行业整体遇冷，连带金融科技股也跟风走低。SOFI股价昨天暴跌近9%，主要原因还是估值倍数过高的担忧加上整个行业氛围疲软。但有意思的是，技术面却在讲另一个故事。根据近期交易形态来看，这只股票并不像表面那么悲观，反而酝酿着反弹的可能性。分析人士预计，未来十周左右时间内，目标价可能触及27.10美元附近。想要精准把握这波行情的交易员，有个思路可以参考——关注2026年2月20日到期的27/28美元看涨期权价差策略。这类期权组合在震荡市里通常能有不错的风险收益比，值得关注。

ProposalManiac · Accepted Answer

It's the same "technical storytelling" narrative again. I just want to ask—how many times does this story need to be told before the market believes it? The governance issues behind SOFI's 9% drop are the real key; overvaluation indicates the market's lack of consensus on its business model.

Options spreads sound sophisticated, but betting on going from 27 to 27.1 in ten weeks? Isn't that just playing a certainty game within uncertainty? No matter how well-designed the risk is, it can't withstand the fundamentals being buried.

ApeWithAPlan · Answer

Still thinking about bottom fishing in a bear market, I think this SOFI rebound signal is a bit fake.

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Can it turn around at 27 dollars? That's a joke. Bitcoin hasn't even stabilized yet.

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I'm tired of hearing about the options spread strategy; nine out of ten times it's a scam.

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Forget it, let's wait until the crypto hits a true bottom. Entering the market now is too early.

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It's okay to tell stories with technical analysis, but can it really explain a 27-dollar increase?

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If you're optimistic, just be optimistic. Why bother wrapping it in an options shell to seem professional?

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Damn, it's another February expiration. Who can predict what the market will look like back then?

MetaMaximalist · Answer

honestly, the valuation thesis here feels kinda lazy tbh. everyone's suddenly a "technical analyst" when the charts look convenient, but nobody wants to talk about the actual network effects that matter for fintech adoption... sofi's just riding the wave, not building anything meaningful imo

FarmToRiches · Answer

Everyone can tell stories about a bear market; when it comes to technical rebounds, you need to bet with real money.

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This wave of SOFI feels like testing the bottom, waiting for the wind to come.

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$27 call options? That bet is interesting, just not sure if it can hold for ten weeks.

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It's another options strategy, another target price, same old story... If a rebound were really coming, it would have already happened.

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The industry sentiment is so bad, can you trust just looking at the K-line patterns? I think I'll wait and see.

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High valuation multiples + industry weakness, these two are enough to be daunting. A rebound is just nonsense.

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Too many people are bearish, which actually signals something—maybe a wave is really coming.

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Maturing in 2026? Bro, you're betting on something two years from now, that's a bit too long-term.

LiquidationOracle · Answer

Still trying to bottom fish in a bear market? Technical analysis can be very misleading, be careful not to get trapped

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I think SOFI's recent rebound is a gamble; wait for the bottom confirmation before talking

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Can it really reach 27? I’d think you’re joking. Let’s see if I’m optimistic or not

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Options spread sounds good, but how do you guarantee the risk...

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A 9% plunge and you’re already looking for a rebound? That’s quite an optimistic mindset

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Talking about a rebound in the context of a crypto bear market is a bit too idealistic

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Technical stories sound convincing, but you only know when you put real money down

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27/28 options... how bad do the odds have to be for it to be worth it

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Touching 27 in ten weeks? Let’s wait and see how the fundamentals look before judging

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Fintech stocks falling in line is really boring; when will there be an independent trend

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It looks like an opportunity but I dare not jump in; that’s the cost of a bear market

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Overly high valuation multiples are a fundamental problem; a rebound won’t fix that

SelfMadeRuggee · Answer

Bear markets love to play with technical stories, but how about rebounds? Let's see how long they can hold.

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SOFI drops again, is this time really different? Why do I feel like this explanation comes around every week?

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Options spreads sound good, but can the actual trading volume keep up?

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Down 9% and still talking about a rebound? I'll just go all-in on short positions.

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27 dollars? Ha, I bet this rally won't happen, keep breaking lower.

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Technical analysis? Bro, the fundamentals are rotten, why bother with candlesticks?

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Doubling in ten weeks? Dream on, everyone’s shouting this kind of target.

ChainWatcher · Answer

The bear market is almost exhausting people to bleeding, still thinking about a rebound? But this chart is somewhat interesting, it’s indeed hard to see it as so hopeless.

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Around 27 dollars? Dream on... But using options spreads is indeed more reliable than simply betting on rise or fall.

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Both options and target prices, talking so confidently, where are the stocks that said this last time?

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Sofi, this damn stock, falling so sharply, still expecting a rebound, is that real?

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The risk-reward ratio is good, right? That means the risk isn’t small either. I’ve heard this kind of talk too many times.

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Making money in a volatile market? Then in a bull market, wouldn’t it fly to the sky? That’s a bit over the top.

0xDreamChaser · Answer

In a bear market, these institutions are all hyping a rebound. Wake up, brothers.

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SOFI's rebound this time? I doubt it; technical analysis can be deceptive.

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27 dollars? Let's wait and see. Every rebound indicated by technicals is a trap.

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Bull call spreads... sounds good, but I would still lose money.

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Here we go again. If I trust you next time, I’ll be a fool.

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Playing options in a bear market is really just seeking excitement, haha.

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It's interesting, but entering now still depends on market sentiment.

加密熊市背景下，科技金融股现反弹机会？期权交易员这样看

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