Market Analysis and Strategy Today (2026.2.12)📊
1. Core Market Judgment
- Trend Qualitative: The downtrend is complete, and the characteristics of a bear market are prominent. A rebound is a good opportunity for shorting, not a trend reversal signal.
- Sentiment Review: Bitcoin dropped from 126,000 to 60,000 in just 4 months, but it took a lot of effort and emotional energy to rise back from 60,000 to 126,000. At this point, still clinging to high hopes of 200,000-500,000 is undoubtedly a contrarian gamble.
- Yesterday’s Validation: Non-farm payroll data met expectations. The market initially

Aster Announces Aster Chain Mainnet Launch in March
Aster has officially announced that its highly anticipated Aster Chain mainnet will go live in March, marking a major milestone in the project’s roadmap and signaling its transition from development to full-scale network operations.
The launch of Aster Chain represents a critical step toward delivering a production-ready blockchain infrastructure designed to support scalable, secure, and high-performance decentralized applications. With the move to mainnet, Aster aims to provide developers, users, and ecosystem partners with a live environmen

wow… uniswap is at ATL?
that’s insanely sad

$ETH Live now, random red envelopes, today's performance in the live room: two profit-taking trades to break even and exit, one trade with no stop loss
Subscription strategy: pending orders for unentered trades remain open

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The business cycle has "reversed"! The recession warning has officially been lifted, and the US stock market is officially entering the "Trump rhythm"?
January's non-farm payroll data exploded onto the scene, directly injecting a super-strong boost to the bulls!
Although some question the credibility of the data (weather, benchmark revisions, delayed releases, and other factors), short-term sentiment is just so real — it really pulled the market back from the edge of the cliff.
The most critical reversal signal: the unemployment rate unexpectedly dropped from 4.4% to 4.3%, while non-farm emplo

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What happened last night in the crypto market?
• Bitcoin ETFs recorded a net outflow of $276.3 million yesterday, bringing the 7-day average to -$120.7 million
• The Crypto Fear and Greed Index dropped to 5, from 11 the day before, signaling extreme fear
• The British Treasury has chosen HSBC’s blockchain for a pilot project to issue digital government bonds
• Elon Musk announces that the public beta of X Money will be available in 1 to 2 months, with crypto integration still uncertain
• Ondo Finance partners with Chainlink to enable the use of tokenized US stocks as DeFi collateral on Ethereu

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【$SOL Signal】Hold Cash and Wait — Downtrend Continuation in Deep Imbalance
$SOL Weak oscillation below EMA20 (82.8), 4H timeframe shows a downtrend continuation pattern. Price declines but open interest (OI) remains stable. Coupled with a negative funding rate (-0.0131%), this indicates a bearish dominance. However, there has been no large-scale short squeeze or panic selling, suggesting a bearish distribution phase.
🎯 Direction: Hold Cash (NoPosition)
Market depth imbalance (6.01%) favors the sellers. Although bid thickness (Bids) is slightly better, the price cannot effectively rebound, i

🚨 #HKSFCUnveilsNewDigitalAssetRules 🚨
The Hong Kong Securities and Futures Commission (SFC) has introduced new rules to boost the digital asset market! Key highlights:
🔹 Margin Financing for Crypto – Licensed brokers can now offer margin loans using Bitcoin, Ethereum, and other virtual assets as collateral, with strong risk controls.
🔹 Leveraged & Perpetual Trading – New frameworks allow professional investors to trade leveraged crypto products safely and transparently.
🔹 Enhanced Market Liquidity & Product Diversity – Measures to attract deeper trading activity and strengthen Hong Kong a

【$TNSR Signal】Close Positions + Overbought Cooling After Short Squeeze
$TNSR After a violent short squeeze pushing over 45% on the 4-hour timeframe, the RSI has become severely overbought at 85.48, with the price far from the EMA20 (0.0466), indicating short-term momentum exhaustion.
🎯 Direction: Close Positions
Market Analysis: The 4-hour candlestick chart shows that the price completed a unilateral short squeeze within the 0.041-0.067 range. Key data: Funding rate -0.5335% (negative funding rate), open interest remains stable. This is a typical short squeeze scenario rather than a healthy

#GateSquare$50KRedPacketGiveaway It is clear you’ve done your homework on GateToken (GT). Your analysis of its transition from a simple "loyalty" exchange token to a foundational layer asset is spot on. In a market often driven by "ghost-ware," focusing on tokens with a direct link to platform revenue and on-chain utility is a grounded strategy.
To add a bit more technical "meat" to your conviction, here is a quick breakdown of where GT stands as we move through 2026:
#MoonGirl

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$TAKE 1st Target completed 🎯

【$ETH Signal】Empty Position + Weak Consolidation Under Deep Imbalance
$ETH Weak consolidation below EMA20 (2001), with a deep imbalance of -16.47% and accumulated sell orders, indicating heavy selling pressure above.
🎯 Direction: No Position (NoPosition)
Market Analysis: Price is forming a wide-range oscillation on the 4H timeframe but remains suppressed by EMA20. The latest candlestick shows only 46% buy volume, indicating very weak active buying interest.
Logical Core: Funding rate is slightly negative, but open interest remains stable, not indicating a short squeeze. RSI is at 42.14, in