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Analysis: Bitcoin shows clear resilience, and options trading suggests market concerns about a sharp decline have eased
According to Mars Finance, based on QCP Capital’s latest market commentary, despite the weekend tensions escalating in Iran pushing oil prices above $115 and global stocks turning defensive, Bitcoin has shown clear resilience. Options flow also indicates reduced market concerns about further declines, with downside skewness easing from early last week. The report notes that US Treasuries and gold failed to provide their usual safe-haven functions, as soaring oil prices heightened inflation fears and pushed yields higher, making the dollar the preferred safe-haven asset. Bitcoin’s downside protection still exists, but options flow reflects more nuanced expectations, such as buying April-expiring straddle options indicating the market anticipates continued volatility rather than a one-sided decline. Open interest in March peaked at 75,000 and 125,000 call options, showing that despite ongoing macro uncertainties, optimism for Bitcoin is returning. This week’s focus includes Wednesday’s CPI, Thursday’s unemployment claims, and Friday’s core PCE and JOLTS job openings data.