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Bitcoin Bull Trap Warning in Advance, Short Logic Continues to Realize Profits | Special Analysis
Last week's weekly report clearly indicated that the market was in a bull trap zone, advising investors not to blindly chase rallies and add positions, while maintaining our bearish trend assessment unchanged. This week's market movement provided clear verification of this view — Bitcoin failed to effectively break through the resistance zone and subsequently experienced a notable pullback, with bearish logic continuing to hold.
The following will present this week's market outlook, operational strategy recommendations, and a review of last week's trading execution to help readers navigate the complex market, grasp direction, and make precise decisions.
Trading Weekly Report Core Summary:
• HYPE short-term trading performance: Last week completed one short-term long position operation (1x leverage), successfully achieving gains of approximately 4.41%. (Detailed explanation in Part 2)
• BTC short-term trading performance: Last week completed one short-term short position operation (1x leverage), successfully achieving gains of approximately 5.37%. (Detailed explanation in Part 4)
• HYPE this week's outlook and operational strategy
BTC-0,5%
HYPE-1,45%
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US tech stocks are generally declining in pre-market trading, with Micron Technology down 4%
Mars Finance News: According to Gate market data, US tech stocks are generally declining in pre-market trading, with Micron Technology down 4%, Tesla down 1.6%, Nvidia down 1%, and Oracle down 2.3%.
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Data: Brother Maji is facing liquidation again, with $30,268 remaining in the account.
Mars Finance news shows that according to Hyperbot data, Machi Big Brother has been liquidated again, with only $30268 remaining in his account. The address has experienced a cumulative total of 335 liquidations.
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Largest Release of Oil Reserves in History, Why Are Oil Prices Still Above 100+?
The International Energy Agency released 400 million barrels of strategic petroleum reserves, but oil prices remained above $100 per barrel due to unresolved supply issues in the Strait of Hormuz. This release failed to effectively lower oil prices because the disruption in oil supply hasn't improved, market expectations have worsened with increased concerns, and the outlook for ammunition reserves is bleak.
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Spot Gold Evaporates Daily Market Cap Exceeding Entire "Cryptocurrency Market"
Mars Finance News: On March 23, according to market data, spot gold dropped intraday from a high of $4,473.06 to a low of $4,097.51, with market value evaporating approximately $2.837 trillion, more than 2 times Bitcoin's total market cap (currently reported at $1.362 trillion), exceeding the entire cryptocurrency market's total market cap (currently reported at $2.427 trillion).
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Trader "Loracle" with a position size in the tens of millions going long gold and short crude oil, today's market movement resulted in bidirectional position losses of $1.1 million
Mars Finance reported that Hyperinsight monitoring shows that Loracle's PAXG and WTIOIL hedge portfolio has fallen into losses, with unrealized losses reaching $1.1 million on a position size of approximately $10.5 million. Meanwhile, the address has increased its long position in HYPE, with position size reaching $19.4 million at an average price of $37.67.
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HYPE-1,45%
PAXG-5,71%
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Polymarket Million-Dollar Winners Recap: 40 Addresses, 100,000 Transactions, Only Three Ways to Make Money
The article analyzes three major profit-making strategies on the Polymarket platform, including directional, structural, and cognitive approaches. Directional strategy primarily involves one-way betting leveraging information advantage, structural strategy relies on market-making models for arbitrage, and cognitive strategy involves small-size high-frequency trading based on deep research. The article emphasizes that understanding your own strategy and the "game" you're playing is more important than optimizing details in trading.
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Hyperliquid Weekly Trading Volume Breaks Through $15 Billion, Commodities Market Dominates On-Chain Derivatives Trading
Decentralized derivatives platform Hyperliquid saw approximately $15 billion in trading volume over the past week, primarily driven by commodities contracts, with active trading in crude oil, gold, and silver contracts. The platform supports perpetual contracts for diverse assets, promoting trading diversification.
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BTC-0,5%
ETH-1,62%
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TGE is approaching; what kind of story will Backpack unfold?
Solana ecosystem wallet Backpack will launch BP token TGE on March 23rd with a total supply of 1 billion tokens. 25% of tokens will be unlocked at TGE, with subsequent gradual unlocking. The project emphasizes that team members and investors have not received tokens, with all circulating tokens allocated to users. According to market predictions, BP token price is expected to range between $0.1-$0.2, and Backpack's decision to launch TGE during a downturn presents both risks and opportunities.
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SOL-1,19%
BTC-0,5%
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Gate releases the latest reserve report: covering nearly 500 user assets, with a BTC reserve ratio of up to 147%
Gate has released a reserve report showing an overall reserve coverage ratio of 122% as of March 16, 2026. Major assets including BTC, ETH, and stablecoins all maintain excess reserve ratios significantly above 100%. The platform is committed to protecting user security and advancing technological and product innovation. The user base has surpassed 50 million, and it will deepen the integration of multi-asset trading and intelligent services in the future.
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BTC-0,5%
ETH-1,62%
USDC0,02%
GUSD-0,02%
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Brent crude oil spot price rises and reaches $110 per barrel
Mars Finance reports that on March 23, according to market data, the spot price of Brent crude oil rose to $110 per barrel, an intraday increase of 2.03%.
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Goldman Sachs: Expects ECB to raise rates by 25 basis points each in April and June 2026
Mars Finance News: According to Golden Ten Data, Goldman Sachs currently expects the European Central Bank to raise rates by 25 basis points each in April and June 2026, a revision from its previous forecast that rates would remain unchanged this year. This adjustment is consistent with JPMorgan Chase and Barclays Bank's forecasts from last week, with both banks also expecting the ECB to take action in April. Goldman Sachs pointed out that conflicts in the Middle East pose inflation risks, with rising energy prices being the main concern factor.
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Goldman Sachs: Expects ECB to Raise Rates in April
Mars Finance reports that on March 23, Goldman Sachs now expects the European Central Bank to raise interest rates by 25 basis points in April and June 2026, having previously forecasted that rates would remain unchanged this year. This adjustment aligns with predictions from JPMorgan Chase and Barclays Bank last week, both of which also anticipate the ECB will take action in April. Goldman Sachs notes that conflicts in the Middle East pose inflation risks, with rising energy prices being the main concern. ( Golden Ten )
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Spot silver's intraday decline widens to 10%, reaching $61 per ounce
Mars Finance News: According to Gate market data, spot silver has dropped to $61 per ounce, declining 10.17% intraday. New York futures silver has plummeted 12.00% intraday, now trading at $61.29 per ounce.
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Data: Bitcoin Treasury Company Capital B Increased Holdings by 44 BTC, Total Position Rose to 2,888 BTC
Mars Finance News: According to an official announcement, European Bitcoin treasury company Capital B has completed a BTC increase, purchasing 44 BTC at approximately 2.7 million euros. After this purchase, Capital B's total BTC holdings have risen to 2,888 BTC.
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Data: Swedish-listed company H100 plans to increase Bitcoin holdings to 3,500 BTC, or potentially add 2,449 BTC
Mars Finance reports that H100 currently holds 1,051 BTC, with a goal of 3,500 BTC. An additional 2,449 BTC needs to be acquired, valued at approximately $170 million.
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