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Cryptocurrency Market Weekly Review (12.08~12.14): Rate cuts support, earnings reports suppress, BTC continues to fluctuate within a narrow range

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Author: 0xBrooker
The Federal Reserve's rate cuts and liquidity release boosted BTC's price bottom this week; AI tech stocks' earnings falling short of expectations continued to squeeze high-beta asset valuations, suppressing BTC's upward potential. Ultimately, after testing last week's high, BTC continued to maintain a mid-term "bottoming" trend.
ETH, which experienced a larger decline earlier, also showed a stronger rebound, but ultimately fell back with the overall market trend.
Under the influence of rate cuts and slightly improved short-term liquidity, both attempted to break through the descending trendline this week, but both failed and retreated back within the descending trendline.
Overall, BTC moved in tandem with the Nasdaq, waiting for the release of next week's November CPI and non-farm employment data to provide guidance for a market lacking trading points, while also facing the impact of Japan's interest rate hike next week.
Policies, macro finance, and economic data
Experienced roller-coaster swings and caused heavy damage
BTC-0.24%
ETH-0.73%
USDC0.01%
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The "Santa Claus Rally" for US stocks and Bitcoin is coming, and historical data provides a rare consensus signal

Article by: White55, Mars Finance
When the S&P 500 index shows a seasonal upward trend at the end of the year, Bitcoin also follows a similar rhythm, with historical data providing rare dual bullish signals.
As December progresses past the halfway point, Wall Street's attention gradually shifts to the most anticipated seasonal phenomenon of the year—the "Santa Claus Rally."
Since 1950, the S&P 500 index has a 79% probability of recording positive returns during the short seven-day window of the last five trading days of December and the first two trading days of January, with an average increase of 1.3%.
This seasonal pattern has been repeatedly validated over the past 75 years, making the last two weeks of December the best-performing two weeks in the stock market.
On the other hand, Bitcoin quickly rebounded from a low of $87,500 on December 15 to above $89,500. Last week, Bitcoin spot ETF net inflows reached $286 million.
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Doha Bank issues $150 million digital bonds, settling instantly via the Euroclear DLT platform

Qatar Doha Bank successfully issued $150 million digital bonds, utilizing Euroclear's distributed ledger for real-time settlement (T+0), and listed on the London Stock Exchange. This transaction marks the gradual adoption of regulated DLT systems as the preferred infrastructure for institutional tokenized debt.
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Curve Finance founder proposes $6.6 million token grant for ecosystem development

Curve Finance founder Michael Egorov proposes to grant Swiss Stake AG 17.45 million CRV tokens to support ecosystem development and technological research, ensure team operations, and advance the 2026 upgrade, including Llamalend v2 and on-chain foreign exchange features.
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CRV-2.63%
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Citi: Short-term debt drives US Treasury yield curve to steepen

Citigroup rate strategist pointed out that driven by short-term debt, the U.S. Treasury yield curve may steepen, with short-term interest rates falling faster than long-term rates. As unemployment risk rises, the bull market is expected to continue through 2026, and the market has priced in the Federal Reserve's rate cuts. In a strong economic environment, the yield curve may further steepen.
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The Reserve Bank of India rejects G7 stablecoin regulatory model, sticking to monetary sovereignty

The Deputy Governor of the Reserve Bank of India clearly stated that India will not adopt the US "GENIUS Act" or other G7 stablecoin regulatory frameworks, emphasizing that dollar-pegged stablecoins threaten monetary sovereignty, and continues to promote the pilot project for the central bank digital currency.
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Bitunix Analyst: U.S. Employment Stalls, Macro Stagnation Risks Persist, Crypto Market Focuses on Key Liquidation Zones

The US labor market is cooling down, with the unemployment rate rising to 4.4%. Economists warn that there may be significant downside pressure in the future. Bitcoin's recent trend has entered a consolidation zone, with strong resistance above. In the short term, the market may maintain a range-bound oscillation, and market risk sentiment is clearly affected by macroeconomic data.
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When AI learns to forge public opinion, how will the prediction market respond to the major test of manipulation?

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Author: Andy Hall, Professor at Stanford Graduate School of Business and Hoover Institution
Translation: Felix, PANews (Content has been edited)
Imagine this scenario: It is October 2028, and Wans and Mark Cuban are neck and neck in the presidential election. Wans’s support rate on the prediction market suddenly begins to soar. CNN, having partnered with Kalshi, provides round-the-clock, nonstop coverage of the prediction market prices.
Meanwhile, no one knows the initial reason for the price surge. Democrats insist that the market has been “manipulated.” They point out that a large volume of suspicious trades, without any new polls or other obvious reasons, have driven the market to favor Wans.
The New York Times also published a report stating that traders supported by Saudi Arabia’s sovereign wealth fund made big bets in the election market to cause CNN to
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ARK Invest founder lists the top three crypto assets: BTC, ETH, and SOL

Mars Finance News: Ark Invest Tracker posted an interview video of ARK Invest founder Cathie Wood on the X platform, in which she listed the top three cryptocurrencies she is most optimistic about: Bitcoin, as the global monetary system and institutional gateway; Ethereum, as the institutional-grade infrastructure layer; and consumer-centric blockchain.
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SOL-0.35%
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Michael Saylor hints at buying more BTC again; the company holds BTC worth $58.5 billion

Mars Finance reports that Strategy Chairman Michael Saylor hinted at purchasing Bitcoin again as the price drops to a two-week low of $87,600. Strategy currently holds 660,624 BTC, worth approximately $58.5 billion. Analysts point out that the Bank of Japan's rate hike expectations may lead to selling pressure in the market.
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BTC-0.24%
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