Is it really like this?

Traders are predicting, but which trader exactly?
Unless oil prices and inflation continue to rise
there's little possibility of rate hikes
but it's quite contradictory now
unemployment is also rising
ordinary people have no wages, yet prices remain so high, how are we supposed to live
personally, I feel that once the war ends, oil prices will gradually return to normal
this year is just an observation year, the possibility of rate hikes is extremely small
similarly, expectations for rate cuts are also very small, even if there are some, the frequency and magnitude will definitely not be high
so, don't expect major moves for Bitcoin this year for now