# 预测市场平台

#预测市场平台 Looking back to that summer of 2020, a prediction market platform called Polymarket suddenly emerged in the encryption circle. At that time, everyone thought it was something novel, but who would have thought that just three years later, its founder would become a billionaire?
This young man named Shayne Coplan made it onto the Bloomberg Billionaires List at the age of 27, and he did it all from scratch. Think about what most of us were doing at 27? Most people might still be worrying about rent. Speaking of which, Coplan was in a similar situation back then; he even sold things from

#预测市场平台 Watching the probability of Bitcoin breaking $100,000 on Polymarket drop from earlier figures to 11%, this shift is worth a deep look. It’s not just a numerical change; it’s a real reflection of market psychology.
Remember the 2017 cycle, when the extreme bullish sentiment on prediction platforms also experienced a rapid downward revision. From "definitely hitting $200,000" to "it might just be like this," all within a week or two. The beauty of prediction markets is that they anchor participants’ confidence with real money—no one would bet on something they don’t believe in.
The curr

#预测市场平台 The prediction market is getting more and more lively. Seeing the recent actions of the two major platforms, Polymarket and Kalshi, it feels like this sector is heading mainstream. Especially with Polymarket possibly issuing a coin, its valuation has reached 8-9 billion USD, which is quite significant. However, I am more concerned about the influence of prediction markets on the real world. From sports to politics, this "collective intelligence" is quietly changing decision-making logic. For example, in the next US election, the trend of Polymarket's order book is likely to influe

#预测市场平台 Wow, this news is really exciting! Polymarket founder Shayne Coplan has become a billionaire with an $8 billion valuation, and he is also one of the youngest self-made billionaires. This is definitely a milestone event in the prediction market space!
For those of us who pay attention to new projects, the success story of Polymarket is very inspiring. Starting a business from a bathroom to attracting Wall Street giants is truly astonishing. Although they once faced regulatory issues, they ultimately succeeded in overcoming numerous obstacles.
This case tells us that even if the start i

#预测市场平台 It's so exciting! The success story of Polymarket founder Shayne Coplan is truly inspiring. Starting his entrepreneurial journey from a bathroom to becoming a billionaire fully demonstrates the immense potential of prediction markets. Web3 is reshaping the financial landscape, providing unprecedented opportunities for young entrepreneurs. The rise of Polymarket is not just a business miracle, but a victory for the concept of Decentralization. This fills me with hope for the future - imagine if more people could participate in such innovations, we could collectively create a more o

#预测市场平台 This Monad Airdrop is really a hassle! The official said it's 98%, but the probability on the prediction platform directly fell to 47%. It seems that people don't really believe it can be resolved by the end of October. However, the probability for the end of November has risen to 96%, so it still looks promising. This kind of back-and-forth really leaves people confused, making everyone feel like they're on a roller coaster. But speaking of which, these prediction platforms are quite interesting, allowing us onlookers to participate and make some guesses.

#预测市场平台 Prediction markets have been trending recently, with Vitalik Buterin and the CEO of Coinbase both calling them the "cure" for social media. I think this actually presents a new opportunity for the crypto enthusiasts.
To put it simply: on traditional social media, whoever shouts the loudest wins, but prediction markets are different — you have to bet real money on what you say. Telling the truth can make you money, lying will cost you. This mechanism allows market prices to truly reflect actual probabilities.
What does this mean for us? Many new prediction market platforms are jumping

#预测市场平台 The public sale mechanism of Space is worth paying attention to. Looking at the core parameters—FDV rising linearly from 50 million to 99 million, adopting a variable token distribution model—this price discovery mechanism is more transparent compared to traditional fixed prices, but it also means that the costs for later entrants will gradually increase.
From an on-chain perspective, several key signals stand out: First, the $3 million funding background plus Echo platform's 1360% oversubscription indicate that market enthusiasm definitely exists; second, the flywheel design of 50% p

#预测市场平台 The prediction market is back again, this time with the Solana ecosystem's Space. After reviewing the white paper, a few details are worth pondering.
First is the mechanism design—10x leverage + 0 Maker fee, a combination that is indeed rare in prediction markets. The higher the leverage, the greater the potential returns, but it also means tighter stop-loss levels. My experience is that such high-leverage products are suitable for traders with strict risk control habits who follow along, with a recommended position size of 5-10% of total funds; otherwise, a black swan could lead to l

#预测市场平台 The prediction market seems to be getting more and more lively. However, I still have to remind everyone not to be blinded by the surface heat. These so-called "prediction platforms" are essentially a form of gambling, just wrapped in a high-tech exterior. Especially those projects that wave the "encryption" flag, we need to be more vigilant. Right now, platforms like Polymarket and Kalshi are thriving, but who knows if there are any dark secrets behind them? Moreover, how can sports betting be so easy to predict? One day there might be a scandal involving match-fixing. I advise every