AnalystZhangChen

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4.13 Evening Market Outlook
From the market perspective, Bitcoin continues its weak oscillation throughout the day, currently fluctuating around 70,700 with slight variations, and the overall downward pressure structure remains unchanged. As night deepens, the market is gradually consolidating. There's no need to regret missed opportunities, nor be lost in temporary gains; trading is a marathon, and every steady step lays the foundation for long-term profits.
On the 4-hour chart, after an initial dip, the rebound has been weak, with candlesticks consistently under the short-term moving ave
BTC1,66%
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4.13 Afternoon BTC consolidates within a narrow range, with four consecutive down days but the 70500 support remains unbroken, and the daily volatility is less than 1%. The 1-hour Bollinger Bands continue to tighten, and a trend change window is approaching. Wait patiently for a break below 70500 or a breakout above 71500 before taking a position, and avoid forcing trades.
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Recently, BTC/ETH encountered resistance twice during upward surges and then pulled back, typical of bullish and bearish battles and leverage shakeouts.
In the short term, it remains volatile, with the key point being whether support levels can hold.
High-level resistance is obvious; be cautious about chasing gains and manage risks.
Two, BTC/ETH support and resistance + bullish and bearish levels
BTC current range reference
- Strong support: 67,000–68,000
- Weak support: 69,000–69,500
- First resistance: 70,000–71,000
- Strong resistance zone: above 72,000
Bullish strategy
- If it retraces
BTC1,66%
ETH1,53%
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The true meaning of review: rebuild your market map every day
What many people do after the market closes,
actually isn't called review.
They just look at their holdings again:
Why didn't it rise today?
Did I sell too early?
Will it come back tomorrow?
This kind of "review" is essentially just circling around themselves.
The real review,
is not staring at a single stock,
but first re-examining the entire market.
Because the stocks you hold,
are never isolated.
They are influenced by index styles,
driven by sector strength or weakness,
swayed by market sentiment,
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4.11 Saturday: BTC Key Window, Next Week More Likely to Be Volatile and Weak
On Saturday, April 11th, Bitcoin is at a critical point of top-bottom transition, with the price stuck in a range of 65k–73k, oscillating near the upper boundary. From the current structure, the overall trend is more bearish, resembling a consolidation during a decline rather than a bottoming process. The probability of a unilateral upward move next week is very low; it is more likely to maintain weak volatility or even gradually decline.
I. Technical Perspective: Key Levels Under Pressure, Bulls Weak
1. Current
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The Strait of Hormuz "Bitcoin Toll Station" goes viral: Iran charges passing oil tankers a BTC toll of $1 per barrel, marking the first time a sovereign nation uses Bitcoin as a strategic channel settlement tool.
Iran is abandoning fiat currency and stablecoins to completely bypass US financial sanctions and freezing risks. The censorship-resistant, decentralized nature of Bitcoin truly demonstrates its value as "digital gold" in an environment of sanctions.
Based on an average of 20 million barrels of crude oil passing through the strait daily, this could generate over $7 billion in rigid buy
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4.11 Morning BTC/ETH Trading Recommendations:
BTC Suggestions:
Sell at 75,700-76,300, stop at 76,800, watch for 74,300-73,000;
Buy at 71,200-71,700, stop at 70,800, watch for 72,800-73,800;
ETH Suggestions:
Sell at 2,380-2,420, stop at 2,470, watch for 2,330-2,200;
Buy at 2,180-2,210, stop at 2,130, watch for 2,280-2,360;
Investing involves risks. Enter the market cautiously. It is recommended to set stop-loss and take-profit orders when trading. The decision to operate is solely at the investor’s discretion. Recommendations are for reference only. Profit and loss are at your own risk.
BTC1,66%
ETH1,53%
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