#数字资产市场洞察 December 17th Morning Market Notes
The rally in the morning reached 87925.8 but lost momentum, then continued to decline, with the lowest point touching 86158.4. Now it has rebounded back to around 86571.9, which looks like a weak correction following a high, low pattern. From the high to the low, over 1700 points were wiped out in a short period, and such a rapid decline often triggers a technical rebound. If the 86158.4 support holds, especially if it can stabilize above the 86000 integer level, capital may seize the opportunity to bottom fish and push a rebound.
**Key Resistance L

Recently, I came across an interesting comparison of investment mindsets: a large fund of 100 million aims for a stable 5% return (5 million), while young people with 50,000 to 100,000 need to multiply their investment by 100 to reach the same 5 million profit. The math behind this is harsh, but it also reveals a harsh reality of investing.
Losing that small amount of money when you're young is really insignificant—it's the confidence to go all-in. Most cases of sudden wealth in history follow this logic—CZ selling his house to go all-in on Bitcoin in 2013, Li Xiaolai's early bets, Duan Yongpi

The recent cryptocurrency market has been tense due to two major events.
First, let's talk about the US. Yesterday, the non-farm payrolls data came out much stronger than expected, with new jobs far exceeding market forecasts, and the unemployment rate remaining low. This directly disrupted the market's expectations for a Federal Reserve rate cut—previously, everyone was betting on a cut in March next year, but now that expectation has cooled instantly. As a result, Bitcoin dropped below $88,000, and the entire altcoin sector also experienced significant declines.
But that's not all. The key v

#以太坊行情技术解读 The Bank of Japan will announce its interest rate decision tomorrow, which could rewrite the monetary policy landscape of the past 20 years—the era of negative interest rates is facing its end.
Many are focused on whether there will be a rate hike, but the real question should be "how will they raise rates next." Market consensus is quite clear: this may just be the beginning, with a long-term rate hike cycle waiting ahead.
The sustainability of the decision depends on two key factors:
**Domestic side**: Will wages truly increase? If it's only a temporary rise in prices without corr

#加密生态动态追踪 Bitcoin experienced a slight rebound yesterday, but the release of non-farm payroll data did not cause much of a stir and instead appeared somewhat bearish. From a fundamental perspective, the situation remains less than ideal. Technically, the daily chart has broken below the previous upward channel, and the weekly chart continues to show a downward trend. In the short term, close attention should be paid to fundamental developments and signals indicating price stabilization.
Ethereum's performance generally follows Bitcoin's rhythm. The trend has broken the upward channel, currentl

#大户持仓变化 Ethereum has been exhibiting a typical range-bound pattern these days. The price is bouncing within the 2930 to 2960 zone, repeatedly testing these levels without a successful breakout—this is when patience is most tested.
Instead of guessing the direction, it's better to ride the volatility. A simple and straightforward strategy is: buy on dips near 2930 with the target at 2960 for profit; conversely, short near 2960 with the take-profit set at 2930. Basically, treat the range as a cash machine.
In this oscillating pattern, the biggest risk isn't loss but chasing orders. When you don'

#以太坊行情技术解读 Early morning Ethereum ($ETH) trading strategy: Consider shorting within the 3020-2980 range, mainly watching whether it can break below 2900. If it holds around 2900 without breaking down, then consider bullish opportunities. In simple terms, repeatedly testing support at this level; if it breaks down, continue to decline to around 2930 to look for opportunities. Be cautious with rebounds.

#加密生态动态追踪 A single statement from a Federal Reserve official has caused a sudden shift in global capital allocation trends, and the high-volatility markets are once again at a crossroads.
Recently, there has been a piece of news that many people have overlooked——a senior Fed official bluntly stated: continuing to cut interest rates would pose risks to inflation and inflation expectations, and they personally favor holding rates steady. Sounds like a piece of U.S. stock market news? Actually, it’s a sudden brake on global liquidity expectations.
Over the past half year, the market has been fill

#加密生态动态追踪 Triple Witch Day is coming, and this Friday will be a critical moment. Four times a year, this day sees options and futures expiring simultaneously, with trading volume surging and volatility amplifying—it's inevitable. The market will either surge rapidly or plunge sharply; a stable trend is basically out of the question.
What’s more worth paying attention to is the Bank of Japan. They will announce their interest rate decision on Thursday. The recent decline in the crypto market has already largely priced in expectations of a potential rate hike by Japan. Remember the situation bac

#大户持仓变化 SOL has been a bit of a roller coaster these past couple of days. It opened slightly higher, with a gain of about 1.54%, trading around $129.03, but the overall trend lacks strength — it’s oscillating within a range, and the bearish pressure hasn’t been alleviated. The previous rebound attempted to break through the $133-135 resistance zone, but was still stuck. In the short term, this momentum isn’t enough to support further upward movement.
Here are some potentially safer trading strategies:
**If the $128 level can hold steady**, consider a small long position to test the bulls, but

#美国非农就业数据表现强劲 The US unemployment rate drops to 4.6%, and market expectations for rate cuts are heating up. What does this mean for crypto assets?
Positive economic data generally boosts confidence in risk assets. Under the expectation of ample liquidity, mainstream cryptocurrencies like $ETH, $ZEC, and $XRP often have rebound opportunities. Especially Ethereum, as the cornerstone of the Web3 ecosystem, tends to perform well during loose monetary cycles.
That said, a single data point is not enough to draw conclusions. It’s also important to monitor subsequent CPI trends, Federal Reserve polic

The November US Non-Farm Payrolls report has just been released, and the data itself is quite a slap in the face. On one hand, seasonally adjusted new jobs added reached 64,000, barely surpassing the market expectation of 50,000; on the other hand, the unemployment rate soared to 4.6%—not only higher than the expected 4.4%, but also the highest in four years since September 2021. Wage growth was even more disappointing, with the average hourly earnings in November increasing by only 3.5% year-over-year and just 0.1% month-over-month, falling short of the 3.6% and 0.3% expectations.
What’s more

#大户持仓变化 12.17 Bitcoin intraday resistance is clearly evident at high levels, continue to adhere to a bearish outlook
After a sharp decline last night, Bitcoin once again entered a range-bound consolidation. Currently, the price is oscillating around 87,500, with volatility noticeably contracting, and short-term trading opportunities are lacking clear direction. It is important to note that markets are never short of volatility, but truly profitable trades often stem from discipline and patience, rather than blindly chasing highs or selling lows. In the crypto space, many people's losses are es

The same $1 stablecoin, some projects are similar, while others do a bit more.
Recently, when looking at USDD, I suddenly realized something — it’s more like blending stablecoins with yield-generating capabilities, rather than just a simple pegged token.
Honestly, most people use stablecoins for three things: price stability, transaction convenience, and sufficient liquidity. But these coins, when held in an account, are essentially idle, not doing any work. USDD is different. With a circulation of over $700 million, the protocol’s asset reserves are actually higher, with nearly $250 million i

#美国证券交易委员会推进数字资产监管框架创新 The account went from near liquidation to a reversal against the wind. How many people's dreams are hidden in this real case — and how many traders have repeatedly fallen into the same traps.
Growing from 2000U to 28000U, a ninefold profit sounds crazy, but the logic behind it is not complicated at all. Removing those fancy technical indicators and market predictions, the core is one sentence: "Make the right call on the market ten times, and one heavy position can wipe you out; but if you control your position size well, you can survive in the market for a lifetime."
H

A Meme coin project on the Solana chain once reached a market cap of $380 million but was later exposed to obvious signs of whale manipulation during subsequent trading. This case serves as a deep warning for all participants in Meme coin trading.
Data shows that 80% of the tokens of this coin are monopolized by a few addresses, with 16 wallets selling off simultaneously in a short period, directly triggering a 30% flash crash. From the timestamp of the fund flows, the precise synchronization of these operations is remarkable—completely consistent with the classic "pump-and-dump" whale tactics

Recently, an interesting phenomenon has been worth noting— the performance of certain high-volatility tokens has made many traders feel the "temperature" of the market.
Take PIPPIN as an example, which recently plummeted by 48%, with the price approaching the early opening position level. Although it seems like "breaking even," in reality, the bulls have already profited significantly through cross-platform positions and funding rates. The key detail is: the current price hovers around 0.3, while the funding rate has reached -1.6%, settled hourly—how terrifying is this number? Assuming the mar

Did you know? All the gold on Earth—including what is buried underground—would fit into just one ball. Thousands of years of human civilization have been condensed into this single sphere. That’s why gold is called the "ultimate consensus asset."
But in the digital world, gold has long since evolved.
**Bitcoin is the synonym for digital gold.** Its total supply of 21 million coins is written into the code and will never be increased. No country or institution can control it; it is globally tradable, verifiable, and resistant to inflation. Rather than saying Bitcoin is placed inside a "limited

Suppose time rewinds five years, and you hold 1 million. Which track would you choose to invest in?
This question is worth pondering. Because choosing the wrong direction could lead to vastly different outcomes.
Let's first look at the performance report of digital assets. Early investors in Bitcoin now have approximately 12 to 15 million—more than ten times the initial investment. Ethereum's performance is even more impressive; the same 1 million principal is now worth around 18 to 22 million. The returns of these two leading cryptocurrencies are enough to make investors envious.
Comparing to

#以太坊行情技术解读 The Ethereum daily chart looks poised for a breakout. As long as the price pulls back to the key support zone of 2800-2600, the rebound signals will become clearer, and the probability of continuing upward is quite high. The long opportunities after a breakout are still worth paying attention to. Once this wave of correction is complete, focus on the rebound rhythm and identify the right entry points.