FourHundredAndEighty

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Every bull market cycle has commonalities and differences. What remains the same is the cycle itself, while what differs is the narrative, key players, pace, and volatility.
The cycle is the internal driver—the core force propelling bull market development. Meanwhile, various narratives that unfold during a bull market influence its pace and trajectory, ultimately resulting in different volatility levels that impact investor sentiment.
This holds true for China as well as the United States. The Chinese stock market is not as bad as some believe, nor is the U.S. stock market completely smooth s
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Job opportunities are becoming scarcer, economic growth is stagnating, and AI is rapidly replacing humans in an increasing number of jobs. As the space for production and employment continues to shrink, human society often looks for new outlets. Financial markets, especially the crypto markets, are very likely to be this outlet. In other words—many people in the future may find that the only opportunity they can grasp is speculation itself. Creating bubbles, embracing bubbles, and then making money from them.
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Job opportunities are becoming increasingly scarce, economic growth has stalled, and AI is rapidly replacing humans in more and more work.
When the space for production and employment continues to shrink, human society often seeks new outlets. The financial markets, especially the crypto market, are likely to be this outlet.
In other words—the only opportunity many people may be able to grasp in the future could be speculation itself.
Creating bubbles, embracing bubbles, and then making money from those bubbles.
This sounds absurd, but historically, many periods of prosperity were actually bor
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Bitcoin's ultimate scarcity logic
The total supply of Bitcoin is fixed at 21 million coins. On-chain data indicates that about 3 million coins have permanently exited circulation due to lost private keys and damaged hard drives, making the truly circulating supply extremely scarce.
Compared to gold, fiat currency, and real estate, Bitcoin's store-of-value advantage lies in its absolute scarcity at the code level, non-inflatable issuance, global circulation, and ease of holding and transferring. Based on this logic, one Bitcoin could potentially rise to 7.5 million USD, approximately 50 millio
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Bitcoin's Ultimate Scarcity Logic
Bitcoin's total supply is fixed at 21 million coins. On-chain data shows approximately 3 million coins have been permanently removed from circulation due to lost private keys and destroyed hard drives, making the truly available supply extremely scarce.
Compared to gold, fiat currency, and real estate, Bitcoin's value storage advantage lies in code-level absolute scarcity, non-inflationary supply, global circulation, and easy holding and transfer.
Following this logic, a single Bitcoin could potentially rise to $7.5 million, approximately 50 million RMB.
Is th
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This recent wave of "lobster craze" is actually quite interesting. On the surface, it looks like an AI revolution, but the core essence is more like a precise class-filtering game. 🦞 You'll notice that those truly enthusiastic about "raising lobsters" are basically bosses, entrepreneurs, and major social media influencers; ordinary office workers rarely participate. The reason is quite straightforward: lobsters are essentially a
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# The Recent "Lobster Craze" Is Actually Quite Interesting
The surface narrative is an AI revolution, but the core dynamic looks more like a precision class-sorting game. 🦞
You'll notice that those genuinely enthusiastic about "lobster farming" are mostly bosses, entrepreneurs, and social media influencers—regular employees rarely participate. The reason is straightforward: lobsters are essentially a Token shredder, with monthly feed costs easily exceeding ten thousand. For bosses, they're "digital employees" working 24/7, theoretically cheaper than hiring people; but for employees, they're m
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Today, let's talk about the macro cycle logic of Bitcoin and connect several key factors. First, let's discuss the halving. Historically, the typical bull market cycle usually begins to brew about a year before the halving. After the halving, miners' production costs will significantly increase, and from past cycles, even at the most conservative points of the bull market top, prices have generally reached at least 1.5 times the mining cost.
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Let's talk about the big cycle logic of Bitcoin today, connecting several key factors.
First, let's discuss the halving.
Historically, the typical bull market cycle usually begins to brew about a year before the halving. After the halving, miners' production costs will significantly increase, and from past cycles, even at the most conservative estimates, the price at the bull market top has generally been at least 1.5 times the mining cost.
Based on current models, the mining cost around the 2028 halving is estimated to reach approximately $120,000.
Next, I want to highlight a policy var
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Xin'erWantsToEarnALotOfU.vip:
Follow my copy trading, pay attention to my sister account. I'm very stable too, I'll help you all make money. Please support me.
🔥 Burn! $BURN The victory of the first phase is just the prologue of the deflation empire! While the entire network is "inflation unlocking," $BURN is destroying in reverse! We do not issue new tokens, do not unlock, only bottomless black hole destruction! The more we trade, the scarcer it becomes. Every burn, every deflation pushes $BURN 's value to new heights! We are the true smart money, always following extreme deflation + real returns. Mechanism:
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Memes have always been either the moon or dust, and they just go in to hang out and then leave. They get cut down and run away again. No matter how many times they encounter the same ending—loser, certain An alpha.
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When it rises too much, it naturally pulls back, just like how it rebounds after a significant decline. Let's continue to set sail next week!
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When it rises too much, it naturally pulls back, just like how it rebounds after falling too much.
Let's continue to set sail next week!
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Currently, the market's expectations for Bitcoin's rebound height are generally pessimistic, with few believing it can return above 80,000. My judgment is different. In this wave B rebound, the target is 87,000. The following are several logical dimensions supporting this judgment: 1. Buy signals in the divergence between volume and price
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The market's expectations for Bitcoin's rebound height are generally pessimistic, with few believing it can return above 80,000.
My judgment is different. In this wave B rebound, the target is 87,000.
Here are several logical reasons supporting this view:
1. Buy signals in volume-price divergence
The trading volume during the March 4 rally was significantly higher than any rally between November 21, 2025, and January 13, 2026. Even if it wasn't an effective breakout at the time, this volume level clearly indicates that the buying strength at the current position has already surpassed that of t
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This US-Iran war has been going on for a while, and Bitcoin surprisingly hasn't dropped below 60,000, while Ethereum is holding tightly around 2000 and fluctuating — that's already quite strong! Last time, when it dropped from 100,000 to 70,000, ETH crashed directly to 1300. What about now? The highest leader of Iran plus a bunch of top officials were assassinated, yet the price quickly rebounded. The war is still ongoing, but the coin price remains steady above 60,000 without further decline. I believe 60,000 is the bottom! Moving upward is just a matter of time.
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This US-Iran showdown has been going on for a while, and Bitcoin surprisingly hasn't dropped below 60,000. Ethereum is holding firm around 2,000, fluctuating — that's already quite strong!
Last time, it dropped from 100,000 to 70,000, and ETH crashed to 1,300. What about this time? Iran's top leader and many high-ranking officials have been assassinated, yet the price quickly rebounded. The war is still ongoing, but the coin price remains above 60,000 without dropping further.
I believe 60,000 is the solid bottom! Going up is just a matter of time,
Trump is spouting off and launching mis
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If a modern war breaks out, which type of city is relatively safer? The core logic is actually quite clear: the more ordinary, marginal, and lacking strategic value a city has, the less likely it is to become a priority target for strikes. In modern warfare (whether high-intensity conventional warfare or conflicts mainly involving precision strikes), whether a city will become a missile or air raid target generally depends on its strategic value, which can be roughly assessed based on the following factors:
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In 2026, one of the three important things is: Make good use of AI. Don't waste time debating which AI is the strongest. Truly capable people have four AIs working for them at the same time. My approach is simple: first ask ChatGPT to get the underlying logic. Then pass it to Gemini to fill in gaps and add examples. Next, give it to Claude to restructure into a system. Finally, have Grok critique it, find loopholes, and remove fluff. One question, four perspectives. Cross-validate and iterate repeatedly.
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