These days, short-term trading has become quite difficult. On one hand, the insider giant whales at 1011 still have floating losses on long positions that haven't been closed yet. Additionally, the US is approaching Christmas, so there may still be some small positive news coming out gradually. On the other hand, the probability of Japan raising interest rates on the 19th is already 98%, which is a bearish signal. Although the market has already priced in some of this, last Friday's US stocks and gold collectively fell, which is also related to expectations of Japanese rate hikes. Therefore, s

The insider giant whale has increased its holdings again. Besides one ETH, it also opened a SOL. During yesterday's midday live broadcast, I mentioned that now it is more effective to track this insider giant whale's account. Maybe it knows some positive news that hasn't been released yet. I lean towards a slow decline in the market, but with the Fed's dovish stance and the insider giant whale adding to their long positions, we have to stay vigilant and set stop-losses.

Yesterday, many people said that Powell was dovish, and a dovish rate cut. I looked into it and found that Powell announced significant bond purchases next year, which was already expected. Last year, the Fed started cutting rates but kept shrinking its balance sheet. On December 1st, they will stop shrinking the balance sheet, which means starting in January, they can expand the balance sheet and buy bonds. Actually, Powell mentioned something yesterday that everyone could have predicted and isn’t a big piece of good news: it’s unlikely they will cut rates in January. The dot plot currently s

Still looking to short at highs when bullish news is priced in, and to add to existing short positions in batches.

Yesterday during the live broadcast, we saw market news that the Vanguard Group is launching a Crypto Assets ETF business. Although it's not their own issuance, it can support third-party ETFs like BlackRock, which is Favourable Information for the market. Additionally, tonight's ADP employment data further increases the probability of a rate cut in December. Therefore, there may be a small Rebound in the next few days, but the closer we get to the 11th, the more likely we are to see a peak. With Favourable Information materializing, prices may continue to fall, so the pressure is stil

Last week, the speculation about the Fed's interest rate cut led to a limited rebound in Bitcoin. I mentioned in the live channel that Bitcoin wouldn't break through the 95,000-96,000 range. After the favourable information settles, the market maker will continue to dump. It's hard to sustain interest rate cuts at the beginning of 2026. Yesterday, there was another wave of reaction to Japan's interest rate hike, causing the market to fall further. Personally, I think today's A-shares are performing well, with most stocks rising. The probability of a rate hike in Japan in De

The Nasdaq rose quite a bit from yesterday noon to today noon, but BTC not only didn't rise during that time, it actually shrank a little. So it seems that with the Fed's interest rate cut expectations, the crypto world is just like this. No more going long. Continue shorting at highs.

Yesterday in the live broadcast, I mentioned that the recent expectations for a Fed interest rate cut have risen, with a short-term rebound being bullish, and after the interest rate cut, the favourable information will lead to continued bearish sentiment.

If BTC rebounds, continue to short, anyway the institutions will dump.

MicroStrategy holding 640,000 Bitcoins is the largest "Bitcoin stock" on Wall Street, but it may now be kicked out of global indices for the same reason. A report by JPMorgan on November 20 pointed out that index provider MSCI is consulting on new regulations that aim to classify companies with over 50% of their assets in digital assets as "investment vehicles."
If the plan is finalized on January 15, 2026, Strategy will be removed from a series of indices under MSCI in February, at which time passive funds will inevitably follow suit and sell their stocks. Recently, against the backdrop of Bi

Last night, Nvidia's earnings exceeded expectations, with the stock price rising by 8%. Today, Bitcoin is moving in sync with the US stock market, bullish, short-term.

Continue short

The U.S. government has ended the shutdown, and the fully priced-in good news has led the market to a consensus bearish outlook. Coupled with serious internal divisions within the Fed, the uncertainty regarding interest rate cuts in December has accelerated retail investor panic dumping. Even as we approach December, Powell's brief interest rate cut could only lead to a few days of rebound, and institutions are still dumping stocks because no downgrade actions are expected in the first half of next year, especially after Powell retires post-May. The first half of next year is expected to s