$BTC -3.18 H4 Chart
Currently oscillating around 74 after a sweep here. Two key levels here - 3.18 H4 Chart
Currently oscillating around 74 after a sweep here.
Two key levels here: 728 and 75.
If it breaks below 728, then the hourly level MSB, with high probability this round of uptrend ends.
If it breaks above and holds at 75, then it may need to continue upward to look at 78-80.

After entering the day session, Bitcoin rebounded from lows to around 74,600 in the morning, but failed to sustain further upside momentum. Instead, under pressure at higher levels, it gradually entered a correction phase. Accompanied by intraday pullbacks, price retreated back to around 74,000 and resumed consolidation. Overall, afternoon volatility was moderate, with bulls and bears pulling back and forth within the current range, momentum visibly slowing—more of a normal rotation following the earlier rebound. Ethereum similarly pulled back after touching the 2,350 level, subsequently oscil

The trading idea given yesterday afternoon played out synchronously with the two-coin's yesterday's movement, generating over 60 points of space.
The afternoon maintained a narrow range oscillation pattern, continuing until after market open, when the market still maintained an upward oscillating pattern. Although the fluctuation range was not large, the market's center of gravity steadily rose, with a clear and stable trend. By following this trading approach, one can achieve stable and steady profits. #ETH

The Federal Reserve FOMC decision will be announced at 2:00 AM Beijing time on March 19.
Friends with smaller positions should try to go flat and go with the flow, while friends with larger positions should seize the opportunity well. Market consensus expectations: if dovish, BTC tends to rise. If hawkish, it tends to face pressure and pull back. Tonight, follow Junpie's updates for real-time insights. #美联储利率决议

Bitcoin and Ethereum Brief Outlook (0318):
Strategy Review:
Bitcoin's previous outlook outlined intraday and medium-to-long-term perspectives. The 74800 short was successfully triggered and profits were taken at 73500.
Additionally, the 75600 short in internal guidance captured substantial profits.
Bitcoin's medium-to-long-term outlook target was not reached; subsequent price touches remain valid.
Ethereum's 2370 short was successfully triggered and declined smoothly below 2300, representing a decent gain. The medium-term bearish outlook remains effective. Those with larger positions can reduc

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#比特币支撑阻力位分析 BTC reaches new highs, long and short positions both liquidate—which direction will major players choose before the rate decision?
Currently, there is disagreement between bulls and bears regarding the descending flag pattern:
Bears believe the pattern is complete and will decline after consolidation;
Bulls argue that a complete pattern hasn't formed and spot buying support remains effective. We won't speculate on specific price action, only deploy the most reasonable trading strategies based on structural trends.
Bitcoin key support and resistance levels: From a technical perspec

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Planned Second Wave Landing
Capturing nearly eight hundred points of space, holding at sixty thousand oil.
This round's thinking is clear and definitive:
Upper resistance at 75000, lower support at 73000, actual price movement throughout the entire session oscillating repeatedly within the range. Both long and short opportunities were delivered as expected.
From range judgment, rhythm control to profit taking, the entire process aligned with predictions, no chasing, no holding, simply executing according to plan ensures steady profits.
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🔥【2 AM Sharp! Federal Reserve Decision Night - Will the Market Transform?】
At 2 AM Beijing time on March 19, the Federal Reserve is about to announce its March interest rate decision!
The market is now almost 100% certain: rates will hold steady at 3.75%, but that's not the real focus👇
• Will the dot plot continue to be "hawkish"? How many rate cuts are possible this year?
• Will Powell hold firm or soften? One statement could send BTC/US stocks/gold flying or crashing!
💡 Here are the key takeaways:
1. Started the year talking about 3 rate cuts, now institutions have changed their tune: pro

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The rate decision tonight is NOT the volatility driver
Markets are pricing 99% probability of NO CHANGE
Fed likely holds at 3.5%–3.75%
The rate decision is fully priced in so low surprise risk
The REAL volatility catalyst is @Powell’s tone (hawkish vs dovish)
Markets will react to:
#Inflation concerns (especially #oil spike)
Labor market weakness
Timing of rate cuts
Right now:
Oil shock + inflation risk = hawkish bias
Weak jobs data = dovish counterweight
Result: uncertainty = volatility
Economic projections (DOT PLOT)
This is huge tonight.
Watch for fewer rate cuts in 2026 i.e. hawkish shock

The market hasn't been very volatile lately. I reviewed the recent trends, and from a macro perspective, I'm still bullish. Bitcoin's price has touched bottom last month and has been oscillating upward, gradually warming up. Correspondingly, the recent consolidation in my view looks more like accumulation before a breakout.
Zooming out and looking at it from a historical perspective, reduced volume consolidation before important resistance levels often serves to digest trapped positions and wash out uncommitted chips. Once there's an effective breakout, the subsequent price action tends to be

$ETH LOOKING LOCKED IN
Open interest keeps climbing — not hype, real liquidity stepping in.
No signs of exhaustion yet, just steady pressure building.
This isn’t a quick pump. It’s positioning.
If this flow holds… upside continuation feels inevitable.

$PI Market is about to bottom out

#美联储利率决议 Macro Undercurrents: Fed Decision Becomes the Biggest Variable
Last night's macro landscape was a tale of "ice and fire." The eurozone ZEW economic sentiment index plummeted, pushing the dollar higher and suppressing crypto assets; U.S. existing home sales data exceeded expectations with a recovery, coupled with tech-positive catalysts providing market support, leaving bulls and bears in a stalemate. However, tonight's (early morning) core event completely overshadows other data: at 02:00 the Federal Reserve FOMC will release its interest rate decision and economic projections summar