TheBrightMoonShinesBrightly

Looking at the candlestick patterns and indicators, it does appear to be an uptrend, with frequent dips near 2120 that haven't broken through. The oscillation around 2150 seems like it's tempting people to go long, but I'll pass on it. If it breaks through, I would probably initiate a short position near 2230. If it drops, I'd consider a short-term long near 2050, but I'm not going to gamble at this level. I'll just focus on my own things over the weekend.

Short position placed at 2295, initial order entered

Relying on going long around 1980, a big move might be coming.

Trading Diary 3.9
This morning, the crypto market followed the US stocks downward, but the dip wasn't very deep. Bitcoin still held relatively well, with a dip to 1908. Yesterday's order at 1888 didn't get filled. Currently, the big players clearly don't want to give up chips below 1900, so this morning I took a small long position at 1930 to test the waters, with a stop at 1900. Sure enough, there was a rally. This can also be considered a test order—just a small snack.

Trading Diary Three
The market is most likely following the previous pattern, experiencing a rebound after the initial surge. The bulls haven't finished their move yet. Try to buy on dips as much as possible. Today, entered a long position at 69,500 on Bitcoin, catching a breakout. In the evening, also caught a move on U.S. stocks with long positions. Although the recent rebound has been strong, the overall trend remains bearish. The market still needs a black swan event. Consider short positions above 2300 on Ethereum, and add to positions on further upward movement.

It was a false breakout that was quickly pulled back.

Trading Diary Three
This wave of market rebound is indeed reasonable. Structurally, there is a demand for a rebound. The homogeneous market had already digested expectations of war before the conflict started. In other words, the market had already fallen significantly before the outbreak, so the actual fighting won't cause much damage. Some fluctuations after the conflict begins may even be positive.

Trading Diary Two
Yesterday's short-term rally was weak; I exited to preserve capital. In a bearish trend, especially with international tensions, long positions are quite risky. Today, I haven't set up any short positions. Personally, I have no intention of shorting at 65,000. Although I didn't catch the move, being flat and not losing money is already good. The current downtrend is likely to continue. If Bitcoin breaks below 62,500, there's a higher chance it will drop to 60,000. Be cautious when bottom-fishing. Recommended to stay flat.

Bright Moon Trading Diary One
On 2.25 during the short squeeze market, emotional trading resulted in many losses. Based on today's market, I personally chose to go short on Bitcoin at 65,700, aiming for a rebound. The current trend remains bearish, and there is still a high probability of a large downward wave. If Bitcoin drops to 55,000, I will consider adding a significant position. Large funds should still be reserved for bottom fishing.