ChengfengHeartScholar

Friends who have followed the early-morning ideas should currently be in profit! The early-morning “big coin” retracement to 77,500 today suggests that, based on the market chart, it will likely continue to rise gradually throughout the day. Manage your position size and your entry timing carefully.

4.23 Early Morning Thoughts Analysis
The big cake’s white board price rose steadily to the 79,000 level. Then it pulled back from the high and adjusted! Crude oil has little impact on the market, and in the short term, the focus still remains on setting up long positions. Set up long positions in the 77,000 to 78,000 range, aiming for 8w and stabilizing. $BTC

4.21 Day Trading Strategy
After the US stock market opened last night, Bitcoin rose slowly, with the lowest wick dipping into the 74,600 level. After establishing support, it started to climb gradually, and the current price is consolidating around 76,000. Tonight, the US stock market will release the March retail sales month rate, which will have some impact on the broader market.
Trading idea: Go long by placing orders in the 75,000 to 75,500 range, aiming higher for 77,000, with a stop loss at 74,400.

Identifying “false breakouts” in the cryptocurrency market is an essential core skill for traders. The so-called “false breakout” (Fakeout) is when the price briefly breaks through a key support or resistance level and then quickly reverses, forming a “bull trap” or “bear trap” that specifically targets impulsive traders.
The core of judging whether a breakout is real or false is to look for “consensus”: a true trend is driven by strong consensus, while a false breakout is a “feint” that lacks consensus. You can take a close look at the framework below, which is made up of five dimensions:
· T

1. Core Focus of the Market
Key Price Levels: Current price 74,666, intraday low 73,670 (support), high 76,215 (resistance).
Trend Background: Long-term remains bearish (down 30% over six months), short-term oscillates (rebounded 8% in the past month).
Current Signal: Rises then falls back, rebound is weak, need to confirm if 73,670 support is valid.
2. General Trading Approach
1. Short-term Observation: Watch if 73,670 can hold. If it breaks, beware of a second bottom; if it stabilizes, observe rebound strength.
2. Direction Judgment: Only a confirmed breakout above 76,200 indicates a short-t

Currently holding for three days, since I didn’t watch the market too much on Sunday. Bitcoin also started to pull back from high levels, and my friends temporarily have 3,000 points of profit potential! Timing matters—don’t be reckless!

Long positions arranged earlier in the evening have yielded unexpected gains! Currently fluctuating around 78,000, still a day of watching the market overnight!$BTC

The altcoins scheduled for tonight's setup are currently down around 2 o'clock! Partners with heavy short-term positions should consider reducing their holdings based on the situation! Light positions can continue to hold!

After one month, one account grew from 10k to 34,000, and another account from 1,000 to 18,000. A person's achievement will never surpass their belief!

Actions are more important than words, peace of mind, follow nature! Holding a short position, watching for a short-term market pullback!$BTC

Use top-tier thinking to measure your own steps! In forex, XAU remains steady—buy from the lower levels with 40 points of upside room already in place!

April 15th Today's Thinking and Operational Suggestions
After the price retreated from the high of 76,000, it is currently testing key support in the 73,500-73,800 range. If it successfully holds above 73,500, it is considered a healthy pullback; if it falls below, it may develop into a deeper decline.
News-Driven Factors
The recent rally is driven by the following macro narratives, and their sustainability will be key to the future direction:
Inflation Cooling: US March PPI data came in below expectations, easing market anxiety over interest rate hikes and benefiting risk assets.
Capital Infl

Current Price: Spot gold approximately $4,851 per ounce, has surpassed the $4,800 threshold, with the dollar's seven consecutive declines forming support.
Bull-Bear Divide: $4,820, above which the market leans bullish, below which caution for a pullback is advised.
Key Price Levels:
Support: $4,800 / $4,780
Resistance: $4,850 / $4,880
Key Variables:
U.S.-Iran Negotiation Developments (Resumption of talks vs. risk of breakdown)
U.S. PPI/CPI both below expectations → Reduced urgency for rate hikes → Positive for gold prices
Federal Reserve rate cut expectations nearly zero, high interest rate en

Four days and nights, did not act at the high point! Stopped at 1200 points, waiting for BTC to hit 80k!

知之真切笃实处，即是行；行之明觉精察处，即是知。#黄金

XAU gold steadily locks in profits at 2300—it's moving so fast you can hardly keep up! Flipping/turning over positions and increasing funds could be a matter of just five minutes! Seize the clear direction and stay in sync with the non-fan rhythm!

Short-term (remaining April): It is expected that gold prices will remain within a wide range of $4,660-$4,820, with around $4,800 being a key technical resistance zone. A breakout upward requires both the Middle East negotiations to break down (risk aversion reignited) and U.S. economic data to show clear signs of weakening (interest rate cut expectations warming), which currently seems unlikely; downward movement should focus on the critical support level of $4,665-$4,670, and if this is broken, it may confirm a short-term correction pattern.
Medium-term: The true direction depends on the ev