LighthouseSays

The trend still looks like a daily and weekly chart.
Back in January of this year, I mentioned that 75K is a key level.
Only a true and effective break below 75K, with a decline trend, would confirm the end of the 25-year bull market (see the black neckline on the daily chart).
Breaking below that neckline is the confirmation of the end of the 25-year bull market.
From the current structure, there are two interpretations:
Either a Wave 4 rebound,
or a Wave 5 bottoming.
From a more standard pattern perspective, it actually looks more like a Wave 4 rebound structure,
followed by a Wave 5 decline

Transaction Records
Bitcoin and ETH are holding the grid and fluctuating
Playing with small positions in TradeFi
Today, Trump's statement ending the war caused a sharp drop in crude oil prices
The partial rebound within the main market range is also approaching the high point
No more chasing longs, wait for a pullback!
Taking advantage of the crude oil pullback, opening long positions in crude oil
The bullish outlook for crude oil is only due to the war
According to market predictions on Polymarket
The positive outlook for crude oil still persists
The war will not end in the short term

What's going on?
The US and Israel are attacking Iran, gold stopped rising and started to fall.
It's the 10th day of the attack, and crude oil is still rising at the open.
Earlier, gold was rising because the war hadn't started yet; now that the war has begun, positive news is coming in.
The upward trend has slowed down and ended!
Crude oil hasn't finished rising yet; could the impact of the Hormuz Strait situation be intensifying?

If there are any coincidences, they are purely accidental!
Structurally, it looks quite similar.
Looking at the breakdown points, there are also similarities, but in reality, they can't be exactly the same.
Macro reflections after the false breakout:
The 600,000 rebound was in line with market expectations, but it didn't fully reach the ideal rebound level as expected.
Revisiting the analysis, reaching 74K was already beyond expectations.
In the context of war and a downward trend,
Without the temporary positive news from the U.S. government, it might not have rebounded to 74K.
Currently falli

After the low point on February 6th,
The range-bound movement formed by three waves of rise and fall (as shown in three different colors) is very clear.
The four-hour chart shows a flag pattern consolidation after a decline.
The daily downtrend is still in place.
In the short term, only high short and low long within the range.
Trading above the range equilibrium price (bold black line) carries high risk for long positions, and trading below it carries high risk for short positions.
If you want to bet on a breakout, wait for the price to go to the lower edge and go long to hold a q

The era of altcoins is over
The four-year-long altcoin season is probably gone
No more expectations
In the past two days, Coinbase's Base decided to build its own "Unified Base Stack" to accelerate internal development and upgrades, no longer relying on Optimism's release schedule, which triggered panic selling among investors.
This means Base will keep all the sequencer revenue instead of sharing it with Optimism. This raises questions about the long-term sustainability of the Optimism Superchain, as Base is its biggest partner.
As a result, $OP has dropped over 30% in the past two days
The

Consolidating with oscillations, a trend reversal is imminent! I choose to go long
The needlepoint rebound oscillation at 60K is finally coming to an end
Four-hour oscillation range is narrowing
The trend reversal is expected within the next few days
On a larger scale, the trend is still downward; currently, it's a small platform correction after a decline, indicating a rebound correction phase, and no bottom reversal signal has appeared yet
Four-hour range oscillation (65K-72K) is converging, currently at the lower half critical point
On a smaller scale, the past two days show a stop of the d

Did you make an A8 in a few minutes last night? Not exaggerating, it really happened. Early in the morning, there was an anomaly with ETH market makers; the price was locked in a 2060–2030 range, oscillating rapidly back and forth. The trading volume exploded dramatically, yet there was no clear directional move. Normally, a volume spike indicates a direction, but this kind of price and volume stagnation likely indicates a problem with the market maker mechanism (not going into details here). Experienced and sensitive traders seized this window, went all in, and made a killing. All I can say i

Now, every time the market drops by one point, a group of people who haven't been liquidated yet are on edge! This mindset has been cultivated over the past year; it's very ingrained. Without a severe blow, it's hard to reverse. In a bull market, profits come from being bullish; in a bear market, traders become numb. Gains and losses are now the same! Sure enough, institutions have entered the market. It's not that opportunities are coming, but that retail investors' chances are disappearing! Stay alive! Finding a way to survive is the most important!!

If you can't see the account after closing it, consider it as no loss. Open WeGame and launch Delta to see that it's about to drop below 90.

Aster's second season ended with the final fifth place in the individual, 10,000 U principal, profit of 9,500 US dollars, addicted to the big gambler, Liang Xi's 100,000 US dollar profit did not hold, otherwise the stable first place human team lost! Is it too weak to be a negative return human being compared to the AI team? It's just that the time is too short, otherwise I can take the first place (only the first place has a bonus) $ASTER

BlackRock deposited 1,156.87 $BTC (103.87 million USD) and 19,644 $ETH (59.23 million USD), and may deposit more. Usually, after such news comes out, the market generally rebounds first.

Gold is experiencing some FOMO, and various investors are starting to impulsively buy physical gold offline. At this moment, one might think that gold is about to pull back or decline. I don't have a large long position in gold, so I don't really care if gold pulls back or not. But what I'm thinking is, if gold really pulls back and some funds are withdrawn, will Bitcoin see inflows to compensate for the rally, or will it decline along with gold? If it's digital gold with similar attributes, the normal logic would be that they move together in price. However, the reality is that during times o