Furuixianghe

Federal Reserve Chair Powell delivered remarks following the interest rate decision meeting. According to an article published by Chain News, the Federal Reserve announced it would maintain the federal funds rate target range at 3.5% to 3.75%. Powell emphasized that monetary policy has no predetermined path and will maintain significant flexibility going forward to respond to economic changes.

Wall Street is now split into two camps: One side sees oil prices breaking $100 and inflation picking up, cutting rate-cut expectations from two cuts down to one, pushing action to December. The other side is Morgan Stanley, refusing to change course: first cut in June, another in September.
Who's right? Morgan Stanley's Chief Economist Gapen has solid logic: Oil prices at $90-100, the economy can handle it. If it really can't, you'd need $125-150 sustained for a while, which would actually require the Fed to step in with a rescue.
The key indicator is the 1-year inflation swap rate, currently

ETH Binary Choice! Push to 2500-2800, or smash down to 2200 to liquidate $2.8B?
Folks, the order book is showing its hand!
The strong resistance zone at 2300-2350 has been completely wiped out. Now we're looking at two scenarios:
1️⃣ Rally Scenario: Continue pushing higher to create a 2500-2800 short-term peak, trap retail traders buying the highs, then harvest them.
2️⃣ Liquidation Scenario: Play both sides, reverse and smash down to around 2200, trigger $2.8B in long liquidations, and wipe out the bullish positions below in one sweep.

2200u is the recent strong support level. A break below 2195u indicates this rally has completely failed, longs are done, you must exit. Break below and leave, no averaging down, no holding bags, no wishful thinking.
Sell half at 2305u. 2300u is a psychological level + previous resistance, prone to pullback. Selling half = locking in profits, hold the remaining half for bigger moves.

ETH got eaten up, the money's gone, the fun's over. Ethereum bottomed out overnight and actually stopped falling—it's not going down anymore. Celebrated a bit too early. Currently the market is oscillating upward, which means it can't go lower for now. If it can't go down, it can only oscillate upward. Profits need to be given back. Getting out first! Waiting for a suitable entry point on Monday to get back in.

Ethereum's movement is really a love-hate situation! Last night there was a violent rally that shot up to $2210, and so many people thought the bull was back and FOMOed in, but then at dawn a wick stabbed you right back down to $2100 for consolidation. With this kind of "painted door" market action, brothers doing futures trading must be having a rough time.

Yesterday BTC already pushed through with a yang line and took out all the short positions at 70500, 70800, 71200, 71500, and 71700. There are no more stop losses and shorts above to take out. Looking at the funding rate, we can tell it has already clearly turned positive. Now there are obviously more longs than shorts. Why are longs increasing? Because the yang line this morning took out most of the shorts, and shorts have been almost completely wiped out. As more people chase longs, the funding rate has already turned positive.

Looking at ETH on the daily and 4-hour charts, the oscillation range is clearly contracting—shifting from the previous wide swings to increasingly narrow movements. Trading volume has also shrunk significantly.
This is institutions preparing their big move and positioning ahead of time. The script is basically written: most likely we'll see a sharp downward wick first, dropping to around 1950-1900, which will shake out some weak holders at the daily level. Then it will quickly bounce back and surge strongly—exactly like the move we saw back in May of last year.

Only buy the wrong and sell, don't chase highs
Don't follow hot trends, only act during market panic. Start with small positions to test the waters, confirm the trend, then add in batches. You're not eating the tail, but stabilizing during emotional recovery.
Divide your funds into three parts, set your own rhythm
One part for the trend, capturing the main upward wave;
One part for volatility, profiting from rebound spreads;
One part for cash, waiting for extreme market conditions to add positions.
Profit accumulates little by little, slow is fast.

Ethereum's recent rebound is slightly weaker than Bitcoin's, but the structure is similar. The key level today is $1990.
If the price retraces without breaking below $1990: same logic as Bitcoin, indicating that the bulls are still in control, and you can consider going long based on this level. After moving up, short-term resistance is around $2050-$2060. If it stabilizes there, we could see $2090-$2100, which is the next important short-sell zone. Going further up, strong resistance is near $2130-$2150.
If the price retraces and breaks below $1990: then the short-term trend turns weaker, and

Ethereum moves in a triangular oscillation, with a previous spike breaking through 1985, which is likely a false breakout. The hourly chart hasn't confirmed a solid breakout, so take it with caution. If it can hold above 1985, it may push towards 2055; if it falls back inside the triangle, it will test the 1928 support. If that support doesn't hold, it could drop to 1860. As long as it can stay stable along the upper edge of the triangle and oscillate, there’s still a chance to break through resistance. If it can't hold steady, the trend remains weak.

On March 6th, global asset management giant BlackRock suddenly "locked" private credit fund redemptions, and the day before, they directly wrote down the valuation of $25 million in private loans to zero—this is not just an ordinary risk control tightening, but a deafening alarm bell for the entire financial market, especially the cryptocurrency sector.

The expectation of 59,000 people is itself a joke.
In January, non-farm payrolls were 130,000, and in February, the forecast was directly halved to 59,000? What does this indicate? It shows that the market has long known the economy is not doing well, but this expectation has already been priced in. If the actual data comes out lower than 59,000, it will be a double blow—recession plus missed expectations!
Trap Two: The false prosperity of the employment structure.
Even if the number reaches 59,000, do you know how this figure is derived? 90% of the growth is concentrated in healthcare a

Don't think it's unrelated to you—oil prices have skyrocketed, and this monster of inflation is being fed. Will the Federal Reserve still dare to cut interest rates? Not even raising rates with clenched teeth. Once dollar liquidity is drained, the stock and crypto markets are the first to be indiscriminately sold off for cash. The recent liquidation of 150,000 accounts a few days ago is just a bloody prelude to this.
But I want to present an angle you would never expect: this round of Bitcoin is not a "hedge," but a "getaway."
Think about it—once the war blocks the strait, your gold sitting in

The more lively the market, the easier it is to get impulsive.
When everyone in the group is calling trades, it's often not the right time.
Calm down, understand the rhythm, and then take action.
The most dangerous time to make money is when you're winning.
When things go smoothly, you want to add to your position; when you make a profit, you want to double down.
But the market can turn against you faster than you think.
Those who can take profits in batches are the ones who go far.
Don't trust your feelings too much.
Today you think it will rise; tomorrow you think it will fal

Always treat principal as your life, and profits as your weapon.
Every investment adheres to the "principal withdrawal" principle:
· When investing in any new asset, once profit is generated, withdraw the principal immediately, leaving only the profit to "snowball."
· If a mistake is made, exit immediately upon reaching the stop-loss line.
Even if mistakes are made consecutively, the foundation will never be harmed, always maintaining the capital to rise again.

While regulators are still stigmatizing cryptocurrencies as "money laundering tools," the true power elites are leveraging their core advantages—censorship resistance, borderless, and unfrozen—to transfer their wealth. They restrict ordinary people's asset freedom through laws while using technology to find safe havens for their own assets.

Enter the market calmly, don't be led by fluctuations.
No matter how fierce the market is, first understand the structure.
Breaking new lows at a low point is a signal to position; sideways consolidation at a high point is the time to exit.
When the market surges and then drops sharply, act decisively; during sideways oscillations, wait patiently.
The biggest test in the crypto world isn't technical skills, but the ability to "wait."
Catch the rhythm during rapid rises and falls; build resilience during volatile markets.

Coinbase Chief Policy Officer just personally tweeted to admit: they've been negotiating with officials for several months! And it's not just casual talks—it's core negotiations directly involved in pushing the GENIUS Act into law!
Those in the know understand what this means—
This is not just empty promises; a real regulatory framework is about to be implemented!
What was the biggest fear in the crypto world before? Fear of policies changing overnight. But now, the largest compliant exchange in the U.S. is directly involved in legislation drafting. Isn't this signal clear enough?
From

When it reaches 4900, he never sells,
When it hits 4000, he has never wavered,
At 3500, he personally calls out that the price is too high,
At 3000, he urges everyone to sell,
At 2500, he tells everyone the price is too high,
At 2000, he remains as steady as Mount Tai,
When it's over 1800 and everyone is almost out, he only then starts to sell.
Looking across the entire crypto space, besides taking your money and cutting the leeks, where can you find such a great founder who has been building Ethereum all along, just to prevent everyone from buying at a high price!!!