SongOfTheFlyingFish

I didn't expect the previously predicted 5-digit Bitcoin to arrive so soon. My self-developed AI trading system still shows no signs of bottoming out. Currently, the AI prediction for shorting still has a win rate of 82.95%. 60,000 should be a psychological level for the market, a key point for the bulls and bears to battle over. Let's see if there's a bottoming signal. It can't just drop straight to the bottom range around 45,000, which I predicted in my live forecast. Now, has Yilihua, Weice, and Bitmine exploded? If not, it hasn't bottomed out yet!

You have no idea about the massive crash of the primary downtrend wave.

My system BTC still shows no signs of bottoming out, so this month will continue to plummet. The system's bull-bear dashboard indicates that the medium to long-term trend is all bearish, signaling continued decline $BTC $ETH

Leeks began to look for the reason for 😂 the decline

This round of mid-line level decline has just begun, my trading system shows that there is no sign of bottoming out yet, continue to be bearish to the first target of around 80,000, the second target is around 60,000, and the final target is around 45,000, this is a great short feast once every four years and a one-year short bull market, let's go short together, miss it for another four years! They said that this time is different, in fact, the market is the same every time, because the person behind the transaction is the same, human nature does not change, the market will not change, there

For those who made money in this bull market, listen to an old hand who entered the crypto world in 2013 and has experienced almost all Bitcoin bull and bear cycles—a piece of advice: take profits and exit in time. Otherwise, this bear market will leave you with nothing. Currently, Bitcoin has completely entered a bear market. Don't dream of a super cycle anymore. Consider going long only when Bitcoin approaches around $40,000.

The essence of finance: greed + leverage + deferred payment
Finance may seem complex, but if you remove all formulas and models, only three things remain:
1. People want to get something for nothing
2. People overestimate the future
3. People are willing to shift risks onto others
That's why history keeps repeating itself:
Tulip Mania
South Sea Bubble
Railway Stocks
Internet
Real Estate
AI/Crypto
Each cycle has a different slogan, but human nature is exactly the same:
"This time is different."
And the truth is:
Human nature never thinks they are repeating the mistakes others have made.

The Classic Black Swan Events in the Cryptocurrency World May Reoccur in 2026
Every black swan event in the crypto space is a major wealth transfer—few become extremely rich, while most get wiped out. The black swan in the crypto world is likely to reappear in 2026, as this year is probably a bear market year. Therefore, this year remains a year where a few can achieve a leap in social class. Patience is key to waiting for opportunities.
1. Classic Black Swan Cases
1. Mt.Gox Gate Incident (2014): The world's largest Bitcoin exchange was hacked, losing about 850,000 BTC, and subsequently filed

AI currently predicts that the win rate for going long on BTC over the 4-hour mid-term is now higher than the win rate for going short, so BTC won't drop so quickly this month. It should continue to fluctuate and rebound mainly.

📈 This 1925 "Wealth Cycle Chart" still gives people a chill when viewed today.
It is said that this chart comes from American businessman Samuel Benner's cycle theory, which has been circulated since the late 19th century.
It clearly divides the economic cycle into three levels:
🚨 Level A (Panic Years)
Years when economic panic has occurred or is predicted to occur
• 1927 → 1945 → 1965 → 1981 → 1999 → 2019 → 2035 → 2053
🎯 Level B (Boom Years)
Years of high prices, suitable for selling stocks and various assets
• 1926 → 1935 → 1945 → 1953 → 1962 → 1972 → 1980 → 1989 → 1997 → 2007 → 2016 → 20

I entered the crypto world very early. I first encountered BTC around 2010 when it was worth $1. At that time, I was just getting started. I truly entered the crypto space in 2013, when I was mining with Avalon and Antminer first-generation machines in my living room. Later, I also made several hundred million yuan in the crypto market, achieving financial freedom. Starting from 2017, I began trading derivatives. Most of my leveraged positions ended in margin calls and liquidation. In 2019, the largest position I ever had on OKEx was 30 million yuan. After that, I finally understood that the s

Every time BTC enters a bear market, black swan events occur. For example, the first bear market in 2014 was caused by the collapse of the world's largest Bitcoin exchange, Mt. Gox, in Tsim Sha Tsui, after being hacked and losing 800,000 BTC. The second bear market is the famous 94 incident. The third is the well-known 312. The fourth bear market was triggered by the FTX collapse. I feel that the current fifth bear market is probably caused by Weice's collapse and a subsequent market dump!

BTC has always entered a bear market after breaking below the annual moving average, and this time is no exception. After falling below $100,000 on November 12th last month, it has already broken the annual moving average. Therefore, BTC has been technically in a bear market cycle for over two months. If the four-year bull-bear cycle for BTC is still valid, then the bottom of this bear market will be around $45,000, and the next bull market's peak will be near $280,000.

Have you noticed that many people never make big money in their lifetime, not because of lack of ability, but because they are held back by "face" (ego, pride).
When young, they always think that bending down to earn small money is shameful, that setting up a stall or starting a business will be laughed at, that seeking advice from someone more successful is being servile, and even for the so-called "dignity," they would rather stick to a stable job with a monthly salary of 3,000 and not dare to step out of their comfort zone to try new possibilities.
But the reality is, this thing called "fac

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