#ETH Intraday Analysis
1️⃣ The overall structure remains in a weak state. Recent prices have not successfully broken above the $3000 level, indicating that the bulls lack the strength to sustain a rebound. The price has fallen back from previous highs to an important short-term support zone, and the directional trend is unclear. Overall, ETH's short-term structure leans towards consolidation and weakness rather than establishing a solid upward trend.
2️⃣ Capital flow & on-chain & exchange activity show weak demand side: ETH market funds are cautious, overall risk appetite has decreased, and t

#BTC Intraday Analysis
1️⃣ Structural Interpretation: Bitcoin price briefly surged close to 90,000 last night before quickly falling back. Currently, it is oscillating around the 85,000–87,000 USD range. This decline is not driven by liquidation-induced leverage clearing but more resembles macro sentiment and persistent selling pressure suppressing the market. The price failed to form an effective rebound and was repeatedly blocked at resistance levels, remaining within a short- to medium-term downward channel. In the short term, key support levels have not been strongly held. If the 84,000 l

#ETH Intraday Analysis
1️⃣ Structure Analysis of ETH Trend: "Weakness Fully Displayed, Continual Decline." The price not only broke below 2915 but also led the decline across the entire cryptocurrency market, indicating its current extreme weakness. However, the target level of 2800 has finally been reached.
2️⃣ Capital Flow & On-Chain & Exchange Dynamics (Additional Negative News): The Layer 2 sector led the market decline today, with an overall drop of nearly 7%, and several projects experienced double-digit declines. As a core narrative in the Ethereum ecosystem, the collapse of the L2 sec

#BTC Intraday Analysis
1️⃣ Structural Interpretation: Currently, the price is testing around 85,000 again. The recent decline is driven by persistent spot selling rather than high leverage liquidations. This "slow bleeding" pattern is harder to reverse than a rapid drop. The 84,000 support level has been broken, with the largest decline reaching around 77,500.
2️⃣ Capital Flow & On-Chain & Exchange Dynamics: On-chain data (core bearish signal): Long-term holders (LTH) are cashing out at the fastest rate in over five years. Data shows that the past 30 days have been one of the most intense per

#ETH Intraday Analysis
1️⃣ Structure Interpretation of ETH Movement: "Clearly weaker than the broader market, with weak rebounds after breaking down." The price broke below the 3000-2920 range, and the rebound was much smaller compared to Bitcoin and other mainstream coins, confirming its short-term leading decline position. ETH needs to first regain this level and re-establish above 3000 to reverse the extremely weak situation; otherwise, it will continue to seek support lower.
2️⃣ Capital Flow & On-Chain & Exchange Dynamic Capital Flows (Core Pressure Sources): Capital outflow is more sever

#BTC Intraday Analysis
1️⃣ Structural Interpretation: Around 85,000 is supported by short-term buying, but the rebound is limited and constrained near 88,000. If it cannot recover, the rebound will only be a correction within a downtrend, and the market structure remains fragile. Breaking below 80,000 will significantly increase the risk of further decline.
2️⃣ Capital Flow & On-Chain & Exchange Dynamics (Persistent Bearishness): Institutional funds are still withdrawing. On Monday (December 16), the US spot Bitcoin ETF recorded a net outflow of $357.7 million, forming a stark divergence with

#ETH Intraday Analysis
1️⃣ Structural Interpretation: If the 1-hour candle breaks below 2910, then we should next focus on around 2800, which means traders holding short positions can aim for around 2800.
2️⃣ Capital Flow & On-Chain & Exchange Dynamics: The market is showing a polarized situation. Negative: High leverage longs are experiencing severe liquidations, with well-known investors' longs already liquidated, indicating extreme market fragility. Positive: Last week, US spot Ethereum ETF recorded a net inflow of $209 million, and exchange ETH reserves have fallen to a historic low of 8.

#BTC Intraday Analysis
1️⃣ Structural Interpretation: Bitcoin experienced a continuous decline last night, with over a hundred million long positions liquidated. This is the first time since December 7th that it has returned near 85,000, and selling pressure in the market has sharply increased. The bearish force holds an absolute dominance. The market is evolving from a “bullish correction” to a “deep correction,” urgently requiring a new strong support zone to organize defense.
2️⃣ Capital Flow & On-Chain & Exchange Dynamics: Capital flow and macro factors indicate tightening market liquidit

#ETH Intraday Analysis
1️⃣ Structure Interpretation of ETH Trend: "Clearly weaker than BTC, at a critical support decision point." The price around 3400 faces clear resistance and has pulled back. Currently testing near 3150, an important on-chain support level.
2️⃣ Capital Flow & On-Chain & Exchange Dynamics On-Chain Data (Core Support Basis): According to Glassnode's on-chain cluster data, approximately 2.8 million ETH are held at an average cost around $3,150, forming a significant "support wall." At the same time, about 3.6 million ETH are concentrated at a cost of $2,800, forming the nex

#BTC Intraday Analysis
1️⃣ Structural Interpretation: The daily chart now clearly indicates a rebound need. Regarding the golden cross on the daily chart, we need to pay attention to whether it runs in a sideways or slightly expanded manner, or if it directly initiates a strong upward move followed by a quick decline.
2️⃣ Macro Influence of Capital Flow, On-Chain Data & Exchange Dynamics: Despite the Fed's rate cut, its hawkish warnings on inflation have sparked market concerns about subsequent easing steps, leading to risk asset sell-offs. Meanwhile, the Fed resuming Treasury purchases (

#ETH Intraday Analysis
1️⃣ Structural Interpretation: ETH’s trend has followed BTC in breaking below 3300, but on-chain data shows that whales are actively accumulating during the pullback, indicating that large funds recognize the current price levels as valuable. Next, observe whether the price can be effectively supported at 3000-2900.
2️⃣ Capital Flow & On-Chain & Exchange Dynamics: Whale behavior (key difference): Multiple whale addresses have significantly increased holdings during the price correction. The “insider whale” has added over 19,000 ETH, and major holder BitMine has also inc

#BTC Intraday Analysis
1️⃣ Structural interpretation indicates a technical correction after the bullish realization, currently testing around 89,500. Once broken downward, it could head straight to around 85,000.
2️⃣ Macro tone of capital flow, on-chain, and exchange dynamics: The Federal Reserve's rate cut has been fully priced in, with Chair Powell's remarks on future policy paths becoming the new focus. Any "hawkish" hints (such as cautiousness on further rate cuts) may suppress risk assets. On-chain support: Supply side continues to tighten, with over 403,000 BTC leaving exchanges this we

#ETH Analyze within days
1️⃣ Structural Interpretation Ether has risen twice as much as BTC. So if there is such a trend, ether needs to pay attention to whether the 4-hour breakout is effective. If the 4-hour red negative pole is broken, then there may be a false break here, ETH strengthens independently, successfully attracting market attention, but the breakthrough requires confirmation from the macro environment. Whether its short-term strong pattern can be maintained depends not on itself, but on whether BTC can stabilize.
2️⃣ Capital flow & on-chain & exchange dynamic capital flow: Simi

#BTC Analyze within days
1️⃣ Structural interpretation The high volatility before macro events seems to have gotten rid of the weak pattern, but the real bulls are still a bull trap, and they need to wait for the end of the Fed's speech to be determined. We only need to pay attention to whether it is a hawkish speech or a dovish speech.
2️⃣ Capital flow & on-chain & exchange dynamics Macro and institutional views: JPMorgan's latest report pointed out that Bitcoin's recent pullback is "meaningful but not bearish", emphasizing that the bull market cycle is not over and that the possibility of a

#ETH Intraday Analysis
1️⃣ Structural Interpretation: Ethereum's trend is relatively strong. Although its short-term movement is influenced by BTC, if Bitcoin plunges, Ethereum won't be able to remain unaffected. Here, we need to closely monitor Bitcoin's trend.
2️⃣ Capital Flows & On-chain & Exchange Dynamics
- Capital Flows (short-term divergence): ETF funds have seen short-term outflows. As of the week ending December 6, US spot Ethereum ETFs recorded a net outflow of $65.4 million. This contrasts with inflows into Bitcoin ETFs, indicating that some short-term funds are reallocati

#BTC Intraday Analysis
1️⃣ Structural Interpretation: With the interest rate decision imminent, the current downside risk is significant. Be mindful of rapid price swings before Thursday. Beware of getting wiped out in a choppy market. If the price reaches 85,000-86,000 before the interest rate decision, I actually think the market risk will decrease.
2️⃣ Capital Flows & On-Chain & Exchange Dynamics
Capital Flows: Mid- to long-term capital signals remain positive. Despite the short-term price drop, capital flows show institutions are still positioning. As of the week ending December 6, digita

#ETH Intraday Analysis
1️⃣ Structural Interpretation
Although there is a need for a rebound at present, we can still consider not acting on this rebound. Unless there is a clear signal of a counterattack on the 4-hour chart, we regard all rebounds as bull traps.
2️⃣ Capital Flow & On-chain & Exchange Dynamics
On-chain Data (Core Bullish Factor): Exchange reserves hit a historic low. Data shows ETH reserves on centralized exchanges account for only about 8.7% of total supply, the lowest level since the network launched in 2015. This indicates ETH is being withdrawn from exchanges on a large sc

#BTC Intraday Analysis
1️⃣ Structural Interpretation: Bitcoin is in a “post-crash consolidation phase.” After last week's “roller coaster” action, the price is consolidating above the key psychological 90,000 level.
2️⃣ Capital Flows & On-chain & Exchange Dynamics (the market’s “sentiment thermometer”): The market is still digesting leverage. In the past 24 hours, $288 million in positions were liquidated across the network, with long liquidations leading at $227 million. This indicates that despite price stabilization, high-leverage risks are still being released and market sentiment rem