Amelia1231

There are still many people shorting in this market. The consensus remains that the four-year cycle has ended and we will enter a bear market, dropping to $70,000.
Although I also believe we are currently in a bear market, it won't decline so smoothly. It often rebounds and traps short sellers before falling further. The market usually moves contrary to the so-called "consensus," otherwise wouldn't everyone be making money#Gate广场创作者新春激励

If the interest rate cuts as scheduled in January#我的2026第一条帖 , the market will definitely start to warm up in advance, leading to an initial surge. The actual rate cut is a bearish signal, and this trend rebound will continue before the rate cut. Currently, ETH is still looking above 3400, BTC at 9.6K. I can't say much more, but caution is advised due to the risk of pullbacks and accumulation.

#我的2026第一条帖 The future development of SHIB will focus on the landing of the Shibarium ecosystem and the transition from MEME coins to practical use cases, presenting three scenarios with a baseline probability of 50%, optimistic 20%, and pessimistic 30%.
Core Drivers and Scenarios
Key Variables: Shibarium activity level, token burn rate, community consensus, market cycle, and regulatory policies.
Optimistic (20%): Shibarium becomes an active Layer2, burn rate accelerates, payment scenarios break through; market cap enters the top 15, and the price may reach the range of 0.0005-0.001 USD.

#我的2026第一条帖 $LINK Whales are still accumulating, with large amounts of LINK continuously being withdrawn from exchanges to wallets since the end of November. This large withdrawal has lasted for over a month. Such operations are definitely not retail investors; institutions have been gradually accumulating. However, the recent rebound of LINK has been relatively weak. Currently, funds are still focused on the MEME and AI tracks. Yesterday, XRP and ADA surged upward, and it’s probably LINK’s turn soon. Mainstream coins may experience a delayed rebound, but they will not be absent.

#我的2026第一条帖 Non-Farm Payroll Data Sparks the Precious Metals Market: The Battle Between Bulls and Bears Behind Gold and Silver's High-Level Fluctuations
In the first trading week of 2026, the market was already brewing before the release of the non-farm payroll data. The sharp volatility in gold and silver signals an impending larger storm.
“The liquidity crisis: The shortened trading week during the New Year holiday in 2026 did not dampen market volatility. The CME frequently raised margin requirements in an attempt to 'cool down' the market proactively, but the rollercoaster行情 in the preciou

Major news in altcoins in the first quarter of 2026
$TAO → Position-to-position tensor strategy ETF filing
$SOL → Solana Mobile “SKR” ecosystem token launch (January 2026), Alpenglow upgrade expected in 2026
$BNB → Fermi hard fork on January 14, 2026, BNB Chain performance roadmap for 2026
ONDO → Ondo short-term US government bond fund (stock code: SWEEP) to launch on the Solana platform in early 2026, supported by State Street and Galaxy, with seed funding from Ondo.
ZEC → Bitwise Zcash strategy ETF filing
XRP → If/when the US Securities and Exchange Commission broadens approval standards

#我的2026第一条帖
Let's talk about the fan coin track, which might be one of the hot tracks for altcoins this year.
The 2026 USA-Canada-Mexico World Cup will kick off on June 11, marking the first time in World Cup history that three countries are jointly hosting. The excitement is unprecedented. During the 2023 European Championship, fan coins experienced a surge, and then they have been consolidating ever since. Nearly two years of consolidation have kept the market cap of fan coins generally low. However, on a monthly chart level, such as for CHZ $SANTOS $LAZIO $PORTO and these four coins, the

In the next bull market, we should see a large number of blockchain projects being implemented into real life, such as RWA, stablecoins, AI agents. The future of crypto funds will return to projects that are truly valuable and capable of creating value, rather than just hype and meme coins. Be more patient, everything will change.
#我的2026第一条帖

Discuss the current operational stage
Based on previous experience, January is most likely to see a rebound. Currently, this position is mainly for one-time entry, not suitable for repeated testing. Those with a smaller risk appetite can start with a quarter of their position, wait for a pullback to stabilize before adding more. Those who can tolerate volatility should go half in, but dragging it out may increase the risk of being shaken out.
Regarding the selection of cryptocurrencies
Prefer more stable ones, mainly BNB, OKB, SOL, LINK, XRP, which have good liquidity, relatively regular trend

The First Lesson of 2026: The Fed Dot Plot Shows Increased Intensity! Is the Rate Cut Dream Shattered or the Doves Taking Flight?
Just after the New Year, the Federal Reserve used a 3.50%-3.75% interest rate anchor to wake up the market: last year's 25 basis point rate cut was purely a "courtesy move," the economy is resilient, and massive liquidity injections? Don't even think about it!
The December dot plot has already made it clear:
The full-year rate cuts might only total 25 basis points, inflation remains sticky at 2.4%, while GDP is running at 2.3%... These data points leave even the dov

#我的2026第一条帖
Bitcoin's 2025 annual line closed with a downward candle accompanied by a long upper shadow, so the probability of reaching a new high in 2026 is relatively low. Overall, it will form a correction to the rise since 2023. Therefore, the outlook is bearish rather than bullish, and any rebound at any level should be seen as an opportunity to exit.

#我的2026第一条帖 2026, may I be more composed and braver. In the new year, I hope to deepen my involvement in the Web3 space, continuously learn new skills, and meet more like-minded partners. Looking forward to staying clear-headed in a changing market, and conveying genuine value through creation and communication. Gate Square witnesses every departure, and I hope this record becomes a milestone in time—take action, explore, and not let any possibility down. See you on the road in 2026. Keep going 💪💪💪💪💪💪

The Federal Reserve Minutes Reveal a Signal of Rate Cuts, Cryptocurrency Market Welcomes Liquidity Boost for the New Year
On December 31, the Federal Reserve meeting minutes were released, revealing two key signals: first, the FOMC reached a consensus on rate cuts at the December meeting, but disagreements among officials regarding economic risks continue to widen; second, most officials believe that if inflation declines as expected, further rate cuts are justified. This statement sets the stage for global liquidity easing and is undoubtedly a significant positive for the crypto market, which

#2026币圈Flag 2026, my Flag is to establish an investment system of "innovating while maintaining integrity"! The core holdings will continue to invest regularly in BTC/ETH and try grid trading, while using 20% of the funds to explore early opportunities in AI and DePIN tracks on Gate. To enhance my understanding, I will systematically study the fundamentals of smart contract security auditing, and publish at least one original analysis each month on the square—either project breakdowns or on-chain data insights. The goal is not only asset appreciation but also to become a builder who can contin

The Bank of Japan signals a clear shift, not just a simple adjustment! Some members have directly stated that interest rates will be raised every few months in the future, even if it reaches 0.75%. Japan's real interest rate remains in the "deep negative" territory. What does this mean? It indicates a determination far beyond market expectations, as Japan's long-standing "zero interest rate era" is accelerating its end.
The "hidden meaning" behind this move is more important than the rate hike itself. Among the world's three major central banks, the Federal Reserve has been cutting rates, whil